Quote from: DaveF on November 04, 2023, 11:41:40 AM

Not even close to that time-frame. As @o_e_l_e_o pointed out that is an insane amount of data.

i wasn't talking about the 10^1000 number. i was just talking about 2048-bit integers. big difference. 2048-bit numbers are still pretty big but they're only about 600 base 10 digits. that's it! plenty of room to store it on a computer and do alot of calculations on it.

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Things like this will keep coming up again and again and yet it never seems to happen. Nor will it.

-Dave

they might not factor 10^1000 size numbers but 2048 bit numbers are an entirely different animal and should be vulnerable to quantum computers at some point. very vulnerable. the only question is, when do companies like atom computing scale up past 1000 qbits to say 1 million qbits. i'd say in the next 10 years at worst.
they went from 100 qbits to 1000 in like 2 years.

https://arstechnica.com/science/2023/10/atom-computing-is-the-first-to-announce-a-1000-qubit-quantum-computer/
For Atom itself, the step up from 100 to 1,000 qubits was done without significantly increasing the laser power required. That will make it easier to keep boosting the qubit count. And, Bloom adds, "We think that the amount of challenge we had to face to go from 100 to 1,000 is probably significantly higher than the amount of challenges we're gonna face when going to whatever we want to go to next—10,000, 100,000

Quote from: gmaxwell

If you could crack RSA-2048 there are several very well known public challenges that you could break (one of which has a $200k prize, IIRC).

That challenge ended in 2007. I guess RSA started getting worried they might have to pay out on some of the larger cash prizes like the $100k prize for RSA-1024....
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RSA_Factoring_Challenge