Bump:
Here's my off-the-top of my head updated odds for this upcoming cycle. which is working with UP only with a presumption that a new ATH will come prior to the end of 2025.
Let's say that we presume that a new ATH comes on or before the end of 2025, then what would the amount of the ATH be and what would be the odds of reaching (but not exceeding during the time period) that price range, more or less?
Maybe something like this?
Bearish: $69,001 to $80k - 25%
Conservative: $80,001 to $150k - 35%
Middle: $150,001 to $500k - 30%
High: $500,001 to $1 million - 7.75%
Pie in the sky: $1,000,001 to $2.5 million- 2%
SuperCharged Pie in the sky: greater than $2.5 million- less than 0.5%
Very nice.
To me, it will be crucial to clear the old ATH before the end of 2024. I am pretty confident it will happen, even more, if the ETF is approved next year: if everything goes as planned already in January, with plenty of time to be fully in effect in H1 gobbling up bitcoins.