It also seems to me that the earlier that BTC prices breaches into new ATH territory, then some of the upper price ranges become more realistic.
Yes that's absolutely correct. If bitcoin reaches it ATH in 2025 then calculation or analysis can start. I didn't understand your absumption earlier but now I can understand your prio on bitcoin. If the all time high is achieved to about $80k, a little pumps on bitcoin would increase massively due to higher price. For example if bitcoin is on early stage of $30k %25 push might be a result of about $37.5k but if the price of bitcoin is at the price of $500k %35 growth will also pump to about $675k that will make it more realistic. With my explanation have I gotten your absumption right?
At this time, I consider my timeline and by outline of various price ranges and even my assigning of odds to be quite a bit more realistic than the narrowness of Saylor's prediction.. even though surely he could end up being right but maybe he is ONLY in the ballpark of 15% to 20% odds of being correct, and my chart covers way more possible outcomes, but yeah even with mine, we might have to concede that it is may well ONLY be around 70% to 80% odds that we will even reach a new ATH prior to the end of 2025, so the mere assumption of reaching a new ATH prior to the end of 2025 is not a 100% given.
Thats actually correct. I see the reason to why Michael J saylor's analysis might not even meet up the ATH by 2025 %15 - %20 sounds unrealistic because for bitcoin to achieve it's ATH it requires a massive push %100 and above.