Again I'm talking about line value and the line is def wide. Dariush at 3.20 could be value, that's if he doesn't get KO'd. And if I'm betting on Tsarukyan at 1.37 or whatever then I'd expect no less than total dominance on the mat, on the feet and by the cage which I don't think will happen. But yeah, I could be wrong. I just don't think with Dariush's skill set and experience he should be lined at 3.20.
I agree. I don't understand reasons for those odds. I'd say both have around equal chances of winning. Looks like the bookies put too much weight on the age difference and heavily favour younger fighters, but Dariush is 34, so it's still not quite the "decline" period.
Yup but don't get me wrong. Before everybody start parading itt if I'm wrong, I just wanna say I agree with the books that Tsarukyan should be the rightful favorite. But not that big of a favorite. The match is a pass but if I bet, I'd go for Dariush. Better value for your money imho.
Didn't you make a thread about long term EV? I think that applies here.
Anyway, here's another replay. Lol. So many replays for this event.
UFC Free Fight: Green vs Haqparast https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JeJC1ZkY3s4Turner vs Green could be wide too... And a couple others like Brundage.
And jeremypwr's Multi Master is up and running. Enjoy!
UFC on ESPN 52: Multi Master Challenge https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5475695.0