Quote from: Welsh on November 28, 2023, 07:44:02 PM

Good fights this weekend. Early picks for me would be; Horth, Turman, Solecki, Joaquim Silva, Bobby Green, and Arman. However, that's without looking at any statistics or tape. I'll be looking a little more in depth closer to the end of the week, but I think Bobby Green is going to surprise a few people, and definitely has a chance.

Actually, I Like your choices mostly the Arman Tsarukyan, Bobby Green, and Joaquim Silva for seeing their latest fight records and stats for they will do fine with each of their opponents my only concern is Clay Guida's experience on the ground for sure if Joaquim Silva can defended all of those takedowns he can manage to control the situations and for sure I am doubting Guida's age he is now 41 years old and could anytime announce his retirement, but for sure Joaquim Silva is way younger and for sure can be stronger and faster than Guida, and could also counter his attempts going into the ground,

Quote from: TopTort777 on November 29, 2023, 08:57:36 AM

We are playing math now Cheesy

Dont forget that Tsarukyan lost by UD to Makhachev. A guy who subbed Oliveira, who TKOed Dariush (when he supposed to submit him) Cheesy

Its Tsarukyan that gained experience after Makhachev fight vs Dariush who lost peak Oliveira. Dunno, dunno. I am bad at math... Gonna be a good fight.

Actually, I hate math so for sure I will not get any formulas and computations when accessing a fight, for after seeing both fighter's previous fights I think Arman Tsarukyan had many advantages that could seem helpful in any way, but regardless of what may happen with the actual fight we don't really know for sure all we can do is to speculate and try to think of what may happen inside the octagon if the 2 fight, Islam Makhachev is a great fighter and for sure a great candidate so we can see what a fighter can do, for sure he is the Barometer to scale a fighter if what he can do with a certain fighter,

Quote from: pawel7777 on Today at 02:30:31 PM

Quote from: tokeweed on Today at 01:26:14 PM

Didn't you make a thread about long term EV? I think that applies here.

Yup, I did.
I think there's some decent money to be made by betting on some of the UFC underdogs, as we have some good value bets quite often.
I'm actually tempted to do an experimental run of "betting on underdogs" tactic (and maybe create a dedicated thread), but I don't have much time to watch sports, other than highlights from the top UFC events, which is a bit too narrow field to pull that off. But who know, maybe next year.

For some reason there could be a chance for Beneil Dariush to win and what can we say it is really tempting to bet on the underdog and if there could be a profitable bet that would be in betting with the underdogs for sure but I still don't think that the Risk is still there and I am really looking high and mighty on Arman Tsarukyan right now I really don't know but also got tempted in making a bet on Dariush as well,