if I look at
my December 2021 prediction, I can attempt to use those numbers and timeline as a kind of guidance for what I had then considered to be possible at that point in that cycle, even though we are currently in a different part of our current cycle.. including our momentum is in a different kind of a place.. so $1 million by 2024.. gosh? maybe I would put it at 1%-ish. or maybe less than 2%. but I am not going to put that kind of number within a year at zero..
I actually looked at that Dec 2021 link and among other things it says: "13-17K...too bearish... 2% odds"
Yet, it happened in 2022.
I am just saying that predictions are a hard business, even when measured in probabilities.
We all want btc to be at $1 mil and above and it SHOULD be, but nobody really knows when it would get there in "our" version of the multiverse.
From a tactical perspective, 2017 20X spike happened when almost nobody (except Tim Draper, haha) predicted it.
I can only wish that US would stop "fighting" it and instead, allow it to fully flourish unencumbered and this remains my wish.