Quote from: joker_josue on February 09, 2024, 07:57:01 AM

I am not sure exactly what you mean, here. If we are in the middle of a month and working through our monthly limit, of course, the BTC price relative to the 200-WMA is changing throughout the month, so a lot of times if we are just considering that we do not go over the authorized BTC withdrawal amount for that particular month, then that amount should stay consistent as long at the BTC price is at least 25% or higher than the 200-WMA so we can keep track of our various withdrawals until we reach our monthly limit or we could just do them all on one day for the whole month.

What I wanted to say is that the value placed in this field could influence the entire field. Based on your explanation, I realized that maybe not so much, due to the way the tool is built.
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I think that sometimes it can take a real long time for some of the most basic of ideas to become widespread, understood and put into practice.

I think that the tool can still be considered as a BIG deal to the extent that it can help any of us to better appreciate how BTC may well have a sustainable withdrawal rate that is much higher than other assets, and I think that it remains pretty bold for me to be arguing that bitcoin may well have a sustainable withdrawal rate of 6% to 10% as long as you follow the rules of the tool.

There are a lot of people who want to start to apply the tool , but they are either not yet at a stage in their BTC accumulation that this kind of sustainable withdrawal makes sense or they are not to point in which they can set aside a certain quantity of BTC (such as my 21 BTC example) and just start applying the sustainable withdrawal to a budget, which also is likely to be very powerful to use this tool for such a purpose.\

Quote from: bitmover on February 09, 2024, 10:02:00 AM

JJG has another strategy to sell and buy again using 200WMA, which will be a next tool.

Even though I have been spending quite bit of time thinking about the 200-week moving average in the last 5 years or so, the foundation for our next tool (that we are still having troubles imagining how to design it in a way that is better than the google/excel spreadsheet), that one is based more on just raking profits on the way up and then speculating about buying back upon certain dips and assigning probabilities to the likelihood of such dips would be hit.

Quote from: bitmover on February 09, 2024, 10:02:00 AM

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Example 2 : What would have happened, if I simply deposited it into a fixed deposit at a Bank. (Fixed interest rate, with an option to make additional deposits)

Now you will have an some exponential growth due to compound interest. There are many tools for compound interest in the web. But time is the most important variable here. You need long time.

https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/trading-investing/compound-interest

Even though you can get the idea of compounding from various dollar-based interest/dividend bearing accounts, I consider it to be misleading to rely upon interest and/or dividends in order to understand the concept of compounding. So bitcoin does not have any dividend or interest, and there is no need to put it into an account in order to get interest and/or dividends because historically bitcoin's dollar value has gone up greater than an overwhelming number of dollar based investments, so the amount of it's value going up compounds upon itself without having to get interest upon it. There is no guarantee that bitcoin will continue to go up in value in ways that outpace the devaluation (and debasement of the dollar), but the odds seem quite high that bitcoin will continue to appreciate in value way greater than the dollar debases (even if you include interests that you might earn on holding your value in such depreciating asset/currency like the dollar).

Even just looking at where bitcoin was in 2015, we can see that there have been about 9 doubling of value events (in terms of it's dollar value) and yeah some retracements but still we are currently still around 8 doublings.

1) $250 (2015)

2) $500 (2015-2016)

3) $1,000 (2016-2017)

4) $2,000 (2017)

5) $4,000 (2017-2020)

6) $8,000 (2017-2020)

7) $16,000 (2017-2022)

8 ) $32,000 (2021-2023?)

9) $64,000 (2021-?)

10) $128,000 (?)

Those value appreciations in bitcoin are greater than the debasement of the dollar even if someone were to pay you 10% interest on the dollars that they were holding for you, it would still be better to keep your value in bitcoin even if no dividends or interest is paid by keeping your value in bitcoin.

Bitcoin is designed to pump forever.. and maybe another way of saying it, is that bitcoin is the most pristine of assets and/or the soundest of monies.. so good luck holding your value somewhere else and expecting your money to appreciate (or hold its value) as well as if you were to keep your value in bitcoin, even if you are not getting any dividends and/or interest in nominal senses, you are getting appreciation of the asset in real terms (not guaranteed but pretty damned highly likely, especially if you account for the ongoing, persistent and consistent irresponsible behavior of the dollar and all other fiats.