Quote from: Mek on February 22, 2024, 02:38:43 PM

I think so too, but IMHO it will take long to recover.[...]
Maybe, when CBDCs come around and people realize that coins with public ledgers such as BTC and ETH can be tracked, that will be the time for Monero to step up.

I'm actually a bit more optimistic about the timeframe, although I think the recovery will be slow and gradual.
First, a new equilibrium has to be found. XMR is still in the process of "finding the bottom", although the probability is very high it is already "in". Only if the crypto market is shaken by some external effect I consider sub-100$ prices possible. The most likely evolution is that it will hover around $120 for a while.
The second phase is when slowly new capital trickles in as people see the low prices as an opportunity. This will occur slower than with most other coins, due to the speculative altcoin investor being still in shock.
But I believe this second phase can already drive XMR abouve $150 again in a few weeks.

What you write about CBDCs and a general increase of the level of conscience about Monero's usefulness is a long-term factor which makes it possible for XMR to reach a market cap at least similar to the coins of the "second tier" behind Bitcoin and Ethereum, like Solana, Avalanche or Doge. I don't see that this year though. More likely in 2025-27.