Quote from: MusaPk on Today at 07:55:49 AM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on February 24, 2024, 05:28:19 PM

No problem. I had been trying to highlight some of the area where I perceived us to be thinking about some of these matters differently, and even my assessment of the difference might not be correct, since sometimes meaning and/or intention can be lost in writing.

The solution to this is to have a Podcast, where we will get what you say. Wink

I admire guys who have podcasts and who pull off good content on a regular basis.. It would be a lot of work.

Quote from: MusaPk on Today at 07:55:49 AM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on February 24, 2024, 05:28:19 PM

... even the Lump sum guys of Hypos 1, 4, 7, 10 & 13 are including DCA.. so they do a lump sum and then they DCA thereafter.

"Hypo-1: 300 BTC - Around $225k invested, average cost per BTC $750, valued at around $9.3 million based on 200-WMA and $15.6 million spot price."

In these you mentioned Hypo's, a person has adequate number of Bitcoins so he can move on with DCA for rest of period.

It is difficult to completely flesh out the circumstances, but it seems that at least Hypos 1, 2 and 4 have come to BTC with enough capital and had invested somewhat aggressively and have had a sufficient amount of time pass in their investment, so it starts to seem that they may well have enough BTC in light of their own situations at the time that they came into bitcoin. Each person has to assess, but I am describing situations in which they may well reasonably come to conclusions that they have enough BTC and they may well not need to accumulate any more BTC....

Of course there are going to be guys that do not need that many coins, especially if they might live in a lower cost of living area, or they might have expectations in which they might ONLY want to spend around $40k per year rather than $100k per year.. or whatever their monthly/annual budget might be.

Quote from: MusaPk on Today at 07:55:49 AM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on February 24, 2024, 05:28:19 PM

advantageous to just invest one time in a lump sum kind of a way (even if you are able to do it), and the ones that supplement with DCA and even the ones with a lower budget may well end up spending way more on their BTC (even per BTC), but in the longer run, may of us would have rather been the guy with more BTC, even if our costs per BTC would have had been higher than the lump sum only guys.

Agree. If am getting right then Lump Sum plus DCA is the right way to move in the long runs.

Yep.. if you are able to lump sum and/or front load your BTC investment, there are likely going to be advantages in that. The ability to supplement with DCA and buying on dips surely helps if the BTC price runs against you after you have made your lump sum buys.

Quote from: MusaPk on Today at 07:55:49 AM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on February 24, 2024, 05:28:19 PM

One of my concern with so many hypos is that they can start to feel a bit cluttered and maybe even confusing - since why do we need so many examples, and surely another problem is that the examples capture a point in time, so there could be some aspects in regards to the information that is less than evergreen... meaning that the information for some of the timelines might need to be changed from time to time.. once every 4-year cycle, perhaps?

This is what I was about to write when wrote about your plan to roll out 1a,4a and 7a. This will make it difficult for anyone new to these Hypo's and trying to understand that.

I will see if (or when) I am able to do it, and if it might make sense to make that additional comparison.

Quote from: MusaPk on Today at 07:55:49 AM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on February 24, 2024, 05:28:19 PM

... because even though it can take a long time to build an investment portfolio, it may even take longer to recover, and/or recovery might not be possible if some guys are gambling rather than investing with their time, energy and financial value.

Defiantly if you don't have a right path to invest in Bitcoin then you will end up in loss.
About gambling this quote just hit my mind. "In gambling, a winner is the one who knows when to stop".

It can be very difficult to get back your principle if you lose it.. especially if you think about any of the guys Hypo 1 through 6. They had 10 and 5 years investing into bitcoin respectively, and if they lost their BTC, they may well not be able to get them back anywhere close to the prices that they bought them.