Quote from: BADecker on Today at 05:31:02 AM

Quote from: philipma1957 on Today at 03:13:45 AM

Quote from: BADecker on March 17, 2024, 06:58:23 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on March 17, 2024, 06:22:11 PM

Quote from: cryptosize on March 17, 2024, 01:41:17 AM

~

There's a higher chance of mining a BTC block with a PC CPU/GPU...

about 10000 to 1 shot on any of them dying . So 10000 to the 5th power of them all dying tonight.

the odds of hitting a block with a 1gh miner (gpu) are

1 gh in 600eh
1 gh in. 600000ph
1 gh in 600000000th
1 gh in 600000000000gh which is way better than 10000x10000x10000x10000x10000

but realistically
if trump could live 10-20 years he is about 1 in 7300 to die to night
and biden is maybe 17 years so he is 1 in 6000 to die tonight

so the chances of just those two dying tonight is maybe 6000x7300= 4,380,000

that is actually not likely a 4.3 million to one shot coming in is very rare.

the other three are younger so 10,000 x 10,000 x 10,000 = 1,000,000,000 a billion to one

This might be true regarding averages. But are you including people who live on the street and use fentanyl and poop next to their street-neighbor's cardboard-box-home?

Neither Trump nor Biden live like this. Rather, they live with the best medical and nutrition that is understood professionally. This brings their odds of dying way down. However, this doesn't mean that they won't die. It simply means that they will "probably" easily beat the averages.

Cool

yeah I gave trump 20 years which would be 97 which is way over average.

and 20 years is 7300 days so I said 1 out of 7300 is likely a good guess.

biden I gave 17 years which would be 98 which is way over average.

thats about 6100 days so I

think the 4 million to 1 shot iis a close guess.

I just think no one their ages should run.

I rather agree with you about having an age limit. But because of the experience of old people, it would be nice to have a formal 'Old Guy', Advisor-To-The-President position that carries some authority... enough to stop foolish Biden mistakes, for example. The Advisor position could require somebody over 75-y-o, for example.

Cool

I am 67 I clearly remember back to Vietnam 🇻🇳 Kennedy and Johnson.

I know my own mind and my own body.

At 67 in someways I am far better at the waiting game and hedging. I am less inclined to go all or nothing.

And if you knock on my door and wake me up at four in the morning it takes me seven minutes to dress piss and drink a cup of coffee. At 35 I could skip the piss and cut the time to 3 or 4 minutes.

Do I think I would be better at 80 than 67 no. But I could consult well to a younger guy.