Quote from: SeriouslyGiveaway on Today at 02:03:48 AM

Quote from: Fiatless on April 08, 2024, 08:30:49 PM

In the betting or gambling sector, there has been an increase in the use of technology to make the game more interesting and profitable. Recently there has been news of a SuperComputer that can carry out complex simulations and give game predictions. Based on the Opta supercomputer prediction, Liverpool is the favorite to win the EPL with 45%, Manchester City with 33.6% while Arsenal has a 21.4% chance.
While in the Champions League, the SuperComputer had predicted that Atletico Madrid has the slimmest chance of winning with just 5% chance while Manchester City has the biggest chance with 41.2%.
Do you think these predictions are reliable?

I think in the field of sports, especially football, these predictions should only be a reference factor, it is only based on past and present data to make predictions. However, football is a sport with too many surprises and depends on many other factors such as weather conditions, referees, stadiums, cheering audiences, especially performance during competition of the players. And those are factors that supercomputers cannot predict. Sometimes, a team can win against a stronger opponent just because they have a higher spirit.

Supercomputer predictions can provide us with useful information, for example, through its predictions, we can also know how the past and present force correlation of the two teams, throught it helps us have an overview first. However, we then need to consider unpredictable factors as well as having a personal analysis to make the final decision. That is the most reliable decision.

Yes, it makes total sense. As I said here previously, there are many variables and the most I see they can do is take some of these variables and create a model and over time refine it and who knows, maybe they will get something of value that really generates some prediction. But in the meantime, I agree that it should be used as a reference only.