You have not figured out yet, that king daddy cornz, aka BTC gives little shits?

Holy fucking shit.. you constantly get distracted by dumb short-term news and continuously seem to be missing the BIG picture, which likely means that your wife should already be drawing upon her 401k so that you are either able to defer drawing on BTC, ONLY draw minimally on BTC or even continue to stack BTC while you spend from those various inferior sources also including your silver shitcoin, too.

You still don't see it?  After around 13 years in bitcoin and you still haven't figured it out?

Horey sheit, philip!


Fuck off with your patronizing nonsense.  Is that brief enough for uie-pooie?


Yeah, but we are ballparking anyhow.. so it makes it come off as if you may well be quibbling.. especially when you are trying to maximize by going with the 4 to 1 and even I had clarified several times that I was not even very committed to the claims, even when I first posted about the 10-1, I said that I was giving a rough ballpark, as compared with you stating that it is "at least 1000-1"

But still , I might consider some kind of compromise attempt at balancing surplus values, even though you do seem to be exaggerating a bit in your trying to lock me into 4-1 when my opinion was never very strong on that.. I was giving an off-the-cuff ballpark idea of what it might be and also even if the $47,483 were to be crossed in the coming days, that would not mean that my estimate of probabilities was a wrong estimate.. even though I was still suggesting that I might not consider them to be bettable, even if I did not see you making exaggerated claims on your own end of matters..


You are not in a position to decide what is bettable for another party, but you surely can decide for yourself, and sure it could be possible that we are not able to work out terms that each of us considers to be sufficiently bettable.. .but if I believe you are making outrageous claims, and you consider that I am making outrageous claims, just on the face of those ways of framing matters, it seems that we are in bettable territory.. even if we might not be agreeable t work out terms that each of us might be consider to be acceptable from our own perspective... why would I give any shits about your perceptions of risk?  you have to figure that part out for yourself... The same is true on my end.. .you have no need to worry about whether I have hedged my risks or whatever, and if we are worried that they other might not pay (if he loses), then we might have to seek someone to escrow the bet.


We can agree to disagree in terms of claims of waffling.


Of course, it does but we have not made any bet or otherwise taken action on our assertions besides stating them in a forum thread.. so who cares?


Not irrelevant for the purposes of planning your own situation regarding what are you going to do in terms of managing your BTC portfolio whether you are a trader or merely someone that holds on and never sells or maybe if you are still accumulating BTC.. There are a lot of situations in which you might assess to do something different that is partly based on the current price and/or expectations of future price direction.


I have explain this point enough.  Whether we agree or not or understand each other or not, it may well not matter that much, it seems that I have explained it and perhaps even over explained it to as much details as seems to be worthy of repetition.


I am not that keen on a bet, and I am getting some senses that you are being purposefully annoying.


Your framing of such a proposed bet is not very annoying.. and I am thinking that right now it is 76 days remaining, since the number of days has to do with whether the tradeweighted price would fall of the 100 day chart without having any one day below that price.

In regards to your number 6, it would almost be impossible for there to be a tie if we were to use the actual digits of the underlying data,.. since DirtyKeyboard has already shown us that the data does down to around 10 digits or



I will have to think about if I want to agree or propose any changes, but what you are describing seems to be somewhat reasonable and even bettable in the 100 to 1 sentiment... .though I might want a escrow. and DirtyKeyboard might not appreciate receiving dust (of 0.0001 BTC), if I were to lose the bet.


Part of the reason that we are looking at these trade-weighted averages is to get away from getting worked up about highs and lows, so the weighted price did not even come close to $67,483, even though the low for the day did... so anyhow fast-forward ahead and we still finished the day close to $1,500 higher... so when you had posted your earlier post, there were ONLY three hours left in the day, so most of the day's numbers had already been established by then, so there would have had to have been a lot of volume in the last 3 hours and the price would have likely needed to bounce at least a few thousand below $67,483 to bring down the trade weighted price for those last three hours of the day.