Quote from: aardvark15 on May 14, 2024, 11:27:28 PM

Since the halving is now over, the supply shock should cause the price to increase but traditionally it is a gradual increase. I believe that historically, there is a steady increase after the halving for about a year but then a more parabolic increase for several months after that before the blow off top.

But of course this cycle could be different than previous cycles.

If you will simply say supply shock, it can also mean an increase in the supply, so it is better to just be more specific and say instead that the reduction of supply due to halving is the real ones that can cause a rise in the price but as the other one that you said, this rise is not instant even though there is a shock there that happened.

When we say gradual I think it does not always means to be consistent because BTC is also not a stable crypto but rather it is a volatile one. The only good thing is that it is not only limited on that time period you mentioned because the adoption does not stop but it only continues to expand from time to time.