Quote from: mv1986 on Today at 06:08:46 PM

Quote from: KTChampions on Today at 05:47:33 PM

Scoring two goals against Atlético is not nearly as difficult as it was 3-4 years ago. By comparison, Atlético have conceded 43 goals in 38 games in La Liga this season, while Real have conceded just 26. And here we must remember that, relative to half of the La Liga teams, Atlético is head and shoulders above, and Real received most of the goals they conceded when they had already officially become champions and were playing with the second team.
We’ll see how it turns out in a little more than a day, personally, I’ll take a risk and since I have some free money, I’ll bet on Real winning in regular time with a handicap (-1 and -2).

No worries, I am very well aware of what I am talking about and scoring goals against Atletico in a Champions League quarterfinal when they took the lead in aggregate is a 100 times harder than it is in La Liga. That's why I am not a friend of drawing on La Liga statistics. It doesn't make sense to draw on league statistics as you can clearly see this season alone. Dortmund finished 5th in the Bundesliga. And what?

I guess nobody forgot who got eliminated by Atletico Madrid: it was the super strong finalist from last season and the overwhelming Serie A champion Inter Milan. If it were to work the way you now presented, then something must be wrong Wink

But don't get me wrong, I know that this Atletico is not the Atletico from a few years ago. Still I think they can switch into a different mode in the Champions League and I find that quite normal.

Ok, look at Atlético's other games in the Champions League - in almost every one they conceded a goal, if you take out the games with Dortmund (where they conceded 5 goals while scoring only 4), then their statistics are as follows: 8 games, 8 conceded goals. This is a repetition of La Liga statistics.
Now look at Dortmund: they won the group against PSG, and against dead Milan and Newcastle, then they beat PSV, then Atlético Madrid, then PSG again. Nothing phenomenal (except for the number of hits on the post in the games with PSG), the usual fluctuation of the result.