Quote from: windjc on April 27, 2014, 08:39:23 AM

Quote from: rpietila on April 27, 2014, 06:56:21 AM

Quote from: windjc on April 26, 2014, 07:23:37 PM

Look. The bet is for 30 days. Not 90. 90 is just a way for Rpietila to try to hedge his bet. The guy is deathly afraid of losing. In 90 days we could retest 270 and be back above 500.

This guy has transmutated the bet from (high payout to me if $435 is nevereveragain seen) to a spread ($435 and $500 and mostly it'll be a tie anyway, with only 1:1 odds and a short expiration time).

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90 days I will not do. There's no sport in a bet where there is 90%+ chance of a tie and 8% in losing.

Okay.

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No one is going to manipulate the market. I am assuming a certain amount of honor here.

Here our definition of "honor" is different. Market is defined as an aggregate of the actions of participants. Since there is no way to find out who is doing what, but the aggregate result (price) is visible, the supposed oaths to not manipulate the market can only hurt the honest ones and should therefore not be demanded.

I have no idea what you are saying but it doesn't sound like you will take the bet. No big surprise there. And it was you that tried to transmute the bet from 30 days till 90.

Are you taking the bet? Yes or no are the only 2 possible answers. Pick one.

Come on... start the bet already.. we need some amusement in here Grin

Let's see who's gonna take home the failure trophy Grin