Quote from: tarmi on April 27, 2014, 11:33:48 AM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on April 27, 2014, 11:07:48 AM

Quote from: tarmi on April 27, 2014, 10:56:58 AM

Quote from: rpietila on April 27, 2014, 09:48:52 AM

30 days does not embody the full epicness of saying "never" when we are talking about the trigger being only $20 below the the price today. Also I don't want to change my 10:1 leverage to an arbitrary $500 especially as both agree than in P(98%) it will be hit in 90 days anyway. These are the changes. It seems clear that once again if you are bullish on bitcoin, the best odds you get by buying it. If you are bearish, then you have a few weeks/months in the sun, and then you are replaced with a new generation. And I have seen many.

the epicness is already embodied in saying "never".

so, the only question here is are we going to see another rpietila's failed prediction.

Personally, I have NO problem with predictions being wrong. Who cares?

I have a problem with someone saying that s/he will put money on his/her prediction, and then failing to commit to that course of action. People are wrong all the time, and NO BIG deal, but if you say that you are going to put some money on your prediction, then make it happen.. to solidify the amount of money and the timeline and the triggering mechanisms for the payout(s).. or at least make a good faith attempt at 1 BTC or something.. at least you put some money on it.. like you said you were willing to do....

If you do NOT follow through with your statement and your proposal to make a bet, then you are merely trolling this thread to make the other people in the thread to do all the work in formulating the hypothetical that you apparently had NO intention to follow through with.

btctalk trolls do care about their reputation and predictions.

there is some serious math behind them and a 0 % possibility that they are wrong.