Quote from: Ndabagi01 on Today at 05:35:04 AM

Quote from: Radek4921 on June 15, 2024, 08:54:49 PM

Quote from: Helena Yu on June 04, 2024, 08:40:24 AM

Here are the winning chance of each team to become a champion in the next season:

60% for Real Madrid
39% for Manchester City
1% for Arsenal, Inter, Milan, Barcelona, PSG, Bayern Munich, Leverkusen etc. Tongue

Real Madrid without Mbappe can still become a champion in this season, so it's no doubt majority of people will believe in Real Madrid.

Yeah it really seems like a joke. Real Madrid is not too strong, they were so lucky on semifinal with Bayern on Madrid (especially on 1-1 goal).
Manchester City? Good on a paper but pitch says something different.
1% for all teams in the world excluding 2 overhyped teams? Really?

The statistics looks ridiculous but that doesn’t mean his statistics is wrong. He did it base on current times and what each of the team are playing and we can all see for ourselves. Until next season begins and we see what it looks like before we can now start making predictions on which team will do better than the other, as of now, Real Madrid still remains the favourites after signing Mbappe and Manchester coming second most likelihood to win the Champions League after Real Madrid. All other clubs will definitely fall within the 1% unless we see a different performance from them when season begins. We want to see a more competitive season than the last one, so every club needs to be at their best to deliver the best to make the competition more enjoyable to follow.

I'm not saying that these teams are not favorites on paper, especially since Mbappe joined Real. However, Manchester City does not look so good with strong teams. So I think he may be right about the Champions League favorites, but the percentage breakdown is a complete joke. I don't know if you know how much 1% is, but it's almost nothing. If the bookmaker was guided by his percentage breakdown, the odds for all other teams to win except these two would be around 100. To be honest, I would bet quite a lot on it. The division of, for example, 50%, 30% and 20% into the rest would look completely different. However, real football is not a computer game and here one player will not win the trophy. If Mbappe couldn't even reach the final, and he lost many times in the earlier stages - why is he so sure that he will suddenly win the trophy in a new environment? The fact that Real has recently won this trophy does not mean that now it will be time for another team and it will dominate in the coming seasons. There are many strong teams that can really play good football, so betting only on 2 I think is a mistake, but we will see next season.