Quote from: Sim_card on July 18, 2024, 05:30:55 PM

Quote from: Gheka on July 18, 2024, 02:10:46 PM

Quote from: boltz on July 16, 2024, 05:47:12 PM

Why should I believe ? 9 out of 10 picks from so called "experts" are wrong because they are being paid from bookies to actually give false predictions. It's way better to simply forget that sports experts exist and just focus on your own predictions based on your own calculations and so on.

Even AI predictions at Euro went so wrong like 7 out 10 calls were wrong so no matter who makes the predictions , they always tend to be wrong. Grin

Bookies pay experts to cause chaos in news sources because prediction is a matter of what the data will be like and which way it is leaning, as long as one side is reputable enough, the data will be scrambled, once the information is so misleading, the bettors will not have the same opinion, and the advantage suddenly belongs to the house when there is more chaos, the money flow is more uneven and the chance of taking it all is higher by betting odds and handicap. Expert is just an illusory title that many people create, a shell used only to lure prey

Exactly, the word expert in gambling is a scam word because they know that is the only way they can use to get money out from people's pockets who want to make profit from gambling without knowing what gambling is all about. I see those predictions as luck just the way a gambler will make his own predictions and be lucky by winning huge. If I know a gambler that is not claiming to be an expert and we puts heads together to predict a match, if he has more ideas than me on that match, I can bet on what he concludes after some discussions on the match but if you claim to be an expert, I turn deaf ears on you.

Being realistic will help you avoiding those self-claimed experts, but yeah I like that idea that after discussing things with a person who have that same interest will move you to follow what he thinks that the outcome will be, that shared knowledge can develop better overview of the possibilities,

though in gambling knowledge gives you an edge but it's more on luck that permits you to win, as even how huge the chances of winning of a certain heavy favorite but once the underdog outperformed them the outcome always gives decent to huge amount of benefits to those who entrust their fate with the underdog.