Ninjastic
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress]
by
DaRude
on 08/08/2024, 13:03:52 UTC
Quote from: codIuni on Today at 12:39:40 PM
Quote from: DaRude on Today at 10:24:24 AM
Quote from: magistrator on Today at 10:07:42 AM
Guys, what's going on near Kursk? They say Russians are being chased ?

Indeed interesting development. On surface another suicidal mission like all of the previous attempts. Russia has around 300k conscripts which it's not allowed to use inside Ukraine, but can definitely use on its own land, so PR move for next few days at great cost to Ukraine. Now let's see why Ukraine is willing to sacrifice it's remaining military force for some PR points now:

Quote from: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/ukraine-breaks-silence-on-kursk-raid-objectives/ar-AA1oru05
Ukrainian presidential adviser Mykhailo Podolyak announced during a national TV broadcast that the surprise incursion was launched to boost Kyiv's position in future negotiations with Russia, Telegram channel Country Politics reported.

The presidential adviser said Russian losses of territory, people and equipment will positively impact potential future negotiations with Russia in the war, launched by President Vladimir Putin in February 2022.

Heading into this winter with power cuts would be suicidal for Ukrainian leadership (and nothing good for EU), they risks full collapse and revolt from its citizens. So this is UA's last hurrah before they must start negotiations with Russia. Like i've been saying, this madness should finally end before 2025

Super, well done Ukrainians.

Too early to judge, if the effort somehow manages to destabilize Russia and materialize into something like Prigozhin's march on Moscow, then this gamble will pay off for Ukraine. If after pulling much needed reserves from the frontlines only to waste them on Russian land, and once again just retreat back behind the border in few days, then this long shot also serves its purpose. Politicians need to be able to claim that "we gave it all we had" before accepting concessions in tough negotiations, and it also solves the problem of the staunchest opponents to negotiations, one way or the other. Too much propaganda has been shoved down people's throats to now be able to backpedal and start negotiations without some sort of climax event.