Quote from: Felicity_Tide on Today at 07:09:18 AM

Quote from: SOKO-DEKE on September 13, 2024, 06:48:47 PM

Honestly, those sets of people that always want to buy the dip, I view them as short-term holders, which I see as traders. They always have the intention of selling in a short period of time. But for anyone that is ready to hold their Bitcoin for a very long period of time, I don't think they should have that type of mindset. This type of mindset can hold someone back from investing in Bitcoin. It has happened to many people, all just because they wanted to buy Bitcoin at a cheaper rate. They are still waiting for the Bitcoin price to drop to $20k. They saw it and refused to buy at that time because of the mindset of always waiting for a dip. In fact, many have even wasted the money in other ways.

So if I decide to buy only a dip of $56k from the activities that have played out in the month of August and September, does that make me a short term holder, or a trader, or someone with the intension of selling?. That's never true. You see, when someone chooses to buy a dip in this recent time, he/she must be realistic with the dip to aim for or expect. To be honest, I don't think anyone who is in a right state of mind will be expecting a dip of $20K. If there is anyone like that, then we shouldn't even be talking about them because they are not from this planet. The thing with buying Bitcoin's dip is that everyone choose to have their own price expectation, i.e every individual chooses the dip they want to buy. Someone can choose to buy at $56K, while another can choose to buy at $55.8, but the choice of dip must be realistic and must align with the condition of the market.

But here is the real truth. Waiting to buy a dip is not ideal. Because, you've to understand that Bitcoin price might likely not go back to your price of expectation. Bitcoin price dropping down to someone's expectation is a 50-50 chance especially when the price expectation is too unrealistic. So why even take the risk when you can just use the DCA method that is been suggested here.

Quote from: SOKO-DEKE on September 13, 2024, 06:48:47 PM

Instead of someone chasing dips, they can think wisely and start using the method of DCA. Many of them should be in a grateful stage by in few months to come because once someone starts using the DCA method, they will eventually discover that they have accumulated a reasonable amount of Bitcoin between some months. It would be better if people stopped waiting for a dip, as we don't know exactly when it will happen, and instead focused on the DCA method, which allows them to buy Bitcoin at different prices.

Now your statement is making sense as I completely agree with this.

A BTC accumulator could have BTC buy orders that start from $56k and then go down every $1,500 and scheduled to buy BTC at each potential price point, so then that money is set aside for buying dips, and the further down, the lower the chances that the buy orders will be filled.. and even if the higher level buy orders at $56k might be greater than 50% odds of being filled, that does not make it a good idea to base your buying of BTC on such dips, especially if you are someone who is either brand new to bitcoin and/or even has assessed himself as not having enough BTC.

Of course, since BTC prices are currently right around $59,900 as I type this, someone who set his next buy order at $59,753 would have pretty high odds of having the order filled, so it would not be unreasonable for someone who is largely buying at current prices, so then there would be a question regarding how much cash is desired to keep reserved for buying of dips that might not happen...and each of us would place different odds on different price levels being reached, and surely the odds are ongoingly changing, just like the odds of returning back above $60k are decently high right now, yet the odds of never returning below $52.5k are different today as compared to what they were yesterday, and each of us are not going to be assigning the same odds, yet we might not even need to assign any kinds of accurate odds if we are buying BTC regularly, there may well not be any need for brand new folks to bitcoin to be assigning odds to BTC price drops in regards to their BTC buys, even though they might want to just attempt to do it for fun that does not affect their regular buys.

We might even consider that the odds of going to $56k might even be in the 65% to 70% arena, yet that still might not be any kind of a justification to set buy on the dip orders for those kinds of prices, because it may not even make much difference if we buy another $100 worth of BTC at $56k as compared to buying it right around our current price of $59,900-ish...especially if we are going to be weekly buying $100 for the next 4-10 years or longer.