Quote from: JayJuanGee on October 22, 2024, 02:31:56 AM

Quote from: Strongkored on October 21, 2024, 01:19:07 PM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on October 15, 2024, 02:17:52 AM

That is a pretty narrow range of top prices - in essence a top range for this cycle from $180k to $220k

I mentioned that number only counted from Bullish in 2017 ath around $ 20k with 2021 around $ 69k, and yes, it is a very narrow price range, but that does not mean that the price of Bitcoin cannot pass from $ 220k and I just want realistic unlike the previous 4 -year cycle where there are many high predictions even if I'm not mistaken the lowest price prediction is $ 400k and it turns out it not passing $ 100k.

Just because you have a more conservative estimate, that does not cause you to be more "realistic" than someone with a less conservative prediction, even though your odds of being correct might end up being greater, and sure if you are wrong, then there can be some value to being wrong towards being more conservative rathe than being wrong and getting expectations too high.

A good way to get a high probability of meeting the expectations of investors by behaving more conservatively in terms of investment is to do DCA. Which increases the accumulation of Bitcoin over time and if we limit our accumulation to $100k, we may be able to reach the desired goal earlier and $220k is a later decision in 4-10 years. The main goal is a concrete decision to accumulate in the long term without considering the price. I completely agree with your opinion that being wrong by behaving more conservatively can give us more expected value than being wrong.

Whatever our guess, we must completely agree with the expected decision to stick with Bitcoin that by sticking to the long-term ongoing process like glue, the growth of our invested capital can be more promising.