As for me, I believe Luis Nery is a better boxer than Sam Goodman, as Goodman has not fought outside his home country, Australia. While an upset is possible, I think it’s a very slim chance given Naoya Inoue’s talent and the fact that he is still in his prime.
Every boxer in Inoue’s current division has a slim chance of winning, and Goodman is no exception. There won’t be any upset here unless Goodman turns out to be the kind of fighter who can knock someone out with one punch, but judging by his record, he doesn’t have that.
I don’t think this fight will attract much international interest either. Even with a lot of Japanese fans, I’m sure they’re getting tired of watching Inoue fight opponents who aren’t on his level.