Quote from: hisslyness on November 22, 2024, 07:12:35 AM

Quote from: ChartBuddy on November 22, 2024, 07:01:11 AM

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

I hate to be part of this Sell Wall. Considering we may still have 10-12months left in this Cycle!

Truth be told, i have a batch leaving me at $135K and another at $210K and the final will be at 350k!... life changing in every way possible! Then hodl for another 12-24 years!

You would not be part of the sell wall in the current visual, since it is at $100k and you are saying that you are not selling any batch until $135k.

I got little ones all the way up.. $3.5k increments until $120k and then $45k increments until $150k...

I have not yet set my sells above $150k.. yet I am thinking that I better set that pretty soon.. so that I would already have my numbers in place.

Historically, it has not been easy for me to sell larger chunks, even though frequently I think that I should.. so the amounts of the larger chunks have usually tended to be a bit muffled.

Quote from: d_eddie on November 22, 2024, 01:56:53 PM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on November 22, 2024, 08:18:50 AM

Quote from: philipma1957 on November 21, 2024, 04:32:24 PM

so a retrace to 60k or a spike to 150k could happen in the next sixty days. but if force to guess 60k or 150k in the next 60 days As jjg would give a percent i would guess 80% we hit 150k and 20% we hit 60k by Jan 21 2025.

Your percent allocations are wrong (or just confusing) because in your assignment you are assuming one or the other to be hit. so to make them more correct (accurate, less confusing) you would have to subtract out the percentage assignment that you would be giving for not hitting either one, which is probably close to 70% if not greater than 70% ..

... and the probability of hitting BOTH (yes, she is funny that way, sometimes).

I was thinking that the prediction has played out once one is hit, which would be 21 January comes or one of the sides is hit.. but yeah there is a point that if we are honing in on the date being the conclusion, then the both would have to be included too.. which seems that would be a pretty damned low number, but still part of the calculation if we consider January 21 to be the closing of the prediction term outcomes.

Quote from: Richy_T on November 22, 2024, 06:29:19 PM

Quote from: DireWolfM14 on November 22, 2024, 02:35:39 AM

"Money can't buy you happiness"
Me, when bitcoin hits $250k

I mean, Richard Branson's not my type but you do you.

Quote from: OutOfMemory on November 22, 2024, 06:05:34 AM

The good thing is, every buyer gets Bitcoin at a quasi-fixed price for the next few thousand coins. I'd call this a bargain, considered how early we still are.

Some might suggest that that's why the wall is there.

If you bought at the previous ATH and didn't sell, you are approximately 40% up.

You are even better off if you just kept buying.. and if we are talking about starting to buy at the high of 2021, that is a three year timeline, and your average cost per BTC would be right around $30k.. so current value at slightly more than 3x the costs.

Quote from: gwoplock on November 22, 2024, 07:19:57 PM

Quote from: strawbs on November 22, 2024, 07:13:34 PM

OMG. 100k. It's looking like it might happen anytime now.
What are we thinking - blow right through it or bounce up and down either side for a while? Either way, congrats brethren, what a time to be alive (if you're a hodler) Grin

It's going to hit 100,000.01 then fall back to 99k or less. I figure it will trade in that band all Thanksgiving week. The next week I'd guess is when we can stay above 100k for any appreciable time

You must be new here.

Quote from: vapourminer on November 22, 2024, 07:36:21 PM

im figuring the odds of $100k USD happening when im awake or when im taking a nap. as it might be important.

so.. applying game theory

will find results after testing

There's an App for that.

#justsaying.