so a retrace to 60k or a spike to 150k could happen in the next sixty days. but if force to guess 60k or 150k in the next 60 days As jjg would give a percent i would guess 80% we hit 150k and 20% we hit 60k by Jan 21 2025.
Your percent allocations are wrong (or just confusing) because in your assignment you are assuming one or the other to be hit. so to make them more correct (accurate, less confusing) you would have to subtract out the percentage assignment that you would be giving for not hitting either one, which is probably close to 70% if not greater than 70% ..
... and the probability of hitting BOTH (yes, she is funny that way, sometimes).