Quote from: OutOfMemory on Today at 09:13:29 AM

Quote from: Gachapin on Today at 04:53:53 AM

Quote from: OutOfMemory on December 18, 2024, 06:23:13 PM

Quote from: Biodom on December 18, 2024, 06:20:46 PM

I am very much confused about the optimal price, though, as there are two conflicting streams of data pointing to the alternative scenarios next year.
On the surface, it should be all positive in 2025, but it rarely works out this way.
Most likely will sell if I find some desirable property to acquire. Not going to mess up with rentals...if I would buy, it would be just for my family.

Me too, so i will be selling in small amounts all over 2025, do the opposite after a blow-off top. If there will be a supercycle, i have enough BTC left to not really care that i "wasted" some corn. But if i could, which means already being fuck-you-rich, i'd not even feel the urge to sell any holdings at any price. The diamond-hands portion of my stash is destined for inheritance anyway, so it will never be touched by myself.

That's exactly the thing that keeps me from trading, laddering, or else. Because I'm not so sure that "after an ATH it always comes down again" as you seem to imply

No implication, it's a well known fact. Small correction (aka "breather") after every ATH. If it wouldn't be like that, you wouldn't be able to call out an ATH.

That what you wrote there is not true.
I can call out any ATH... there being a breather after it or not. An ATH (at its time) doesn't depend on what comes after it. It's just the highest price ever reached. And you can call it at that moment every single time!

(or maybe I don't get what you wanted to say)

Quote from: OutOfMemory on Today at 09:13:29 AM

So the price is definitely coming down after every ATH.
...

We can agree that there are prices were BTC shoots through and never revisit them again, right?
You say that never happened with with any ATH ever created... I have strong doubts but no time to go through an hourly chart of 13 years.
So let's you are right, then everybody could sell every ATH an make money right by buying back? That sounds like a money machine everybody could use with a 100% success rate. And I'm 100% certain that doesn't exist.

(or maybe I don't get what you wanted to say here either)