Their 7th match will be against Salzbrug and their 8th match will be against Brest, statistically they do look below Real Madrid but anything can happen. If they win, of course the end of the Madrid league will get 15 points. But you have to know that the team above Real Madrid also has the same chance to win 2 times. So I think they'll have a hard time getting into the top 8. They seem to have to go through the playoffs. The change in format made everything change. It seems that this season's UCL champion will also be different.
To win the two matches it might be much easier for Real Madrid because Salzbrug and Brest are not so tough opponents, but to qualify automatically it might be a little more difficult for Real Madrid because even though they won the remaining two matches it was also very dependent on some teams Above them in completing the last two matches. Ancelotti must show changes in the coming matches because the format as now allows them to have difficulty appearing consistent.
The new format is a little different because there are some strong teams that have not managed to qualify for the next round and even have to go through the playoffs in a much more difficult way this season, and vice versa with Real Madrid who have to fight even harder going forward.