Personally, I doubt that it is accurate to say that "everything is unpredictable with bitcoin," especially since many of us invest into bitcoin because we think that we have ideas about where it may be going, so the mere fact that we don't know with certainty does not mean that we aren't able to figure out some kind of bitcoin investment thesis and then to figure out how we are going to allocate in regards to our bitcoin-related investment thesis.
That’s indeed a very notable and agreeable point you made there. It’s true that Bitcoin can be super volatile but that doesn’t really mean that everything about it is totally and completely unpredictable or that we are not able to make some potentially guesses about its future price movement and everyone is just blindly investing in it without actually having a glimpse of where it may likely go.
A lot of investors we know (including yourself) do have a very clear investment thesis and strategy for investing in Bitcoin and even though these thesis are no 100% accurate, it still offers a vivid direction of how to navigate the Bitcoin market.
The fact that we can’t predict Bitcoin’s price movement with 100% certainty doesn’t really mean that we can just conclude that everything about Bitcoin is totally and completely unpredictable, yes the unpredictability and volatility of the Bitcoin market cannot be denied but it is only to an extent. We are still able to analyze trends, market sentiments, as well as several other factors that have the potential to influence the bitcoin market and we may be able to use these factors to make better investment decisions.
These uncertainties in the market are inevitable and the goal isn’t to totally eliminate them entirely but to be able to manage them, and we can be able to achieve this by developing a well thought out strategy, approach and investment thesis because by doing so, we are to navigate the market trends and movements.