Quote from: DirtyKeyboard on Today at 07:38:55 AM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on Today at 02:08:12 AM

Quote from: philipma1957 on Today at 01:33:30 AM

nice number but we tanked a bit since.

Still on track to push out the numbers < 90k

Towards the end of the day, I was getting worried that the $104k slot was in jeopardy of not getting filled, yet in the end, we got a supra $104k day that could be labelled as a squeaker.

I was wondering about that. Since we are in 6 digit territory now, do we now only have to fill the 5 digit 10,000s like vrooms chopper? And if that is the case do we consider 70k and 80k as filled?

Filling is likely optional.. especially these days, since if bitcoin does what we are speculating it to be possible to do, then the jumps in daily trade-weighted prices are likely going to continue to get bigger and BIGGER..

It would seem bearish if there were some kind of requisite to go back and visit $70ks and $80ks, even though surely they are not out of the realm of possible revisits.. especially since our 200-WMA is not even quite in the mid-$40ks, yet. kind of scary that we could get back down to the 200-WMA - yet that does not generally tend to happen until bear season, and surely it is not even mandatory that we have to have bear seasons that end up touching upon the 200-WMA.. .. yet I am not going to presume no more bear seasons. yet many of us likely can see that the ongoing upward price pressures continue to be quite fantastic, even though there could end up being a dump following the Trump pump.. especially even with his seemingly crazy-ass inclusion of his narcissistic lil selfie into the mix of scam projects.

And, by the way, before I deviate too much. I personally have the sense that there were a lot of spaces between $30 and $200 that were not filled in the 2013 move from $6 to $1,163 (or revisited in 2014 and/or 2015)...and maybe we might be considering more the revisiting part rather than the initial UPpity move, even though both are factors, so if we might consider that we might be going up from here and getting in the $120k to $180k range for a while (yeah for sure not guaranteed), then maybe some of the gaps below $100k are not going to be filled, but then there comes the other question about how high the BTC price might end up being capable of going so that both the trade-weighted price no longer needs to revisit some of the sub $100k price territories, yet at the same time, there could be concerns about whether any ongoing daily trade-weighted prices could end up starting to drag up the 200-WMA in larger amounts (such as getting the 200-WMA close to or even above $100k) so that even if we end up revisiting the 200-WMA it still is high enough that we don't have any expectation that we have to go back and fill some of the sub $100k prices, including those in the $70ks and $80ks.

I have some problems even with my own attempts at projecting the 200-WMA into the future, and perhaps I am too overly conservative in my projections, even though some folks would surely label me as a bulltard too, since my own projected numbers still add up to quite outrageous BTC prices, yet even my projection of the 200-WMA does not really get into a supra $100k arena until late 2027.. so call me bearish... or at least I remain concerned about being overly optimistic when it comes to presuming the future or presuming how fast the 200-WMA might go up.. So even if you look at my below projection, you see that I am projecting the 200WMA to go up around 57% in 2025, 21% in 2026 and right around 20% for 2027 and 15% for the first half of 2028.. so yeah.. there is a bit of a fantasy when dealing with future projections and needs to attempt to update in accordance with actual facts rather than projected facts.. at least the way I try to ponder these kinds of matters.

Date     SpotPrice     200 WMA   %gain/time   Spotvs200     gain/time     Coins/10%FU Status   Coins/4%FU Status   Filty-Rich

11/29/24     $95,662     $41,513     27.69%     130.44%     $11,493.16     19.27107171     48.17767928     2,408.8840
5/31/25        $53,236     28.24%     102.00%     $15,033.54     15.02741817     37.56854542     1,878.4273
11/30/25        $68,570     28.80%     102.00%     $19,751.10     11.66687027     29.16717568     1,458.3588
5/31/26        $76,113     11.00%        $8,372.43     10.51069394     26.27673485     1,313.8367
11/30/26        $84,067     10.45%     95.00%     $8,784.98     9.51624621     23.79061553     1,189.5308
5/31/27        $92,412     9.93%     95.00%     $9,174.25     8.65683856     21.64209640     1,082.1048
11/30/27        $101,128     9.43%     95.00%     $9,537.51     7.91076448     19.77691119     988.8456
5/31/28        $116,297     15.00%        $17,445     6.87892563     17.19731408     859.8657

By the way, my number of BTC for the two fuck you statuses is presuming a bitcoin withdrawal rate of 10% at $800k .. then $2 million and a traditional 4% withdrawal rate.. and then fily rich would be a $100 million net worth.. of course each of these categories pegged to the 200-WMA and not to the spot price.