Although there are traders who are actually successful in trading short-term with or without leverage, it's not for PLEBS like US. I discourage fellow plebs from "trading", but if you truly believe that you could profit as a day-trader, then to measure your success rate, make a pretend purchase in Bitcoin with 100% of your trading capital. Check if you outperformed Bitcoin every year. Because if you didn't, then you merely wasted your time and probably shortened your life-span from the mental stress and loss of sleep.
Day trading is not an easy thing this is difficult to do maybe you will be depressed because of lack of sleep or drain the mind, then I can't afford this then it's better to invest much more relaxed do not have to think about anything.
The daily or short-term success rate in 1 year then it will be more minus, if I myself do it.
The success rate of investing for 1 year in Bitcoin then the success rate is high, not even a loss if you don't sell it.
Investors are investing into bitcoin for 4-10 years or longer. Who the fuck knows what could happen in 1 year? and it is very difficult to make comparisons, and even in 4 years you are not guaranteed to make profits even though you can continue to buy bitcoin for 4 years, and reassess where you are at.
if we make historical comparisons of traders to regular DCA people, it is quite likely that the trader is not going to beat the regular BTC investor over the longer term, yet in the short term, the trader would have better chances of beating the investor.
Many of us realize that trading tends to be like gambling, which means that you are likely to find some lucky people in trading, yet if they are trading regularly, it becomes quite unlikely that they are going to beat bitcoin.
For example in the
past 10 years if a guy had invested $100 per week into bitcoin, then he would have invested right around $52.5 k and he would have had accumulated right around 35 BTC, and I doubt any traders are going to beat that, and even if they could, who cares. It is much more risky to be fucking around with trading. .and maybe you beat a regular DCA, and maybe not.
I think I get your point and I have been calculating this some time ago about traders and investors who will make more profit in a long period of time like 4-5 years or more and initially I thought traders will make more profit than investors not until I realized that a trader can not make profit or gain continuously in this interval of time in fact as a matter of fact some time dey incur more loss than profit in a week and sometimes they waste their strength and energy carrying out analysis that are not sure or certain and sometimes I see them as people who just earn and useless because once they make profit the next time is to use it to trade again which we know the possiblity of making it again is not known.
However, it is possible that a trader can make more profit than an investor in short period because our intention as an investor is not even to hold for a short period of time so we shouldn't even compare investor and trader for a short period of time and again any investor who is holding for a short period is not much different from a trader. But when you hold for a long period of time properly definitely it will show your wallet when the time comes.