Quote from: mcdouglasx on February 03, 2025, 06:01:52 PM

Quote from: bitterguy28 on February 03, 2025, 05:50:01 PM

in sports betting, people often stick to what they know and what has been known in the past people tend to analyze results of the past and tend to apply it again in recent and most of the time it pays off

aside from the live matches there are also bets that do not really involve the match at all like for example teams and players’ contracts

if someone had betted on luka dončić being traded and everyone would have betted against that then that person would have made some good money but seeing as the news has been surprising for almost everyone it is quite a reach to make bets this unrealistic

sometimes though it seems to pay off to take some big risks and make outrageous predictions

I think that sports betting depends to a greater extent on statistics, and luck plays a smaller percentage role. Betting on a player being traded without any kind of hint is equivalent to a stroke of luck or manipulation by people close to the club who know the decision in advance. Therefore, betting this way is riskier, but in return, you gain more benefits when you win.

Some are big of a deal for the commission as far as I know. Some players contract have been dissolved because of disclosing the health of a player while they are about to face a big game. A relative of a player bet on the betting platform all because he know the health of a player that contributes more in the club has health problem during that time.

Situation changes when one player has injuries or something. Betting against them would makes sense but if the bet is too large or suspicious enough then maybe the betting platform can flag it.