We are anticipating of buying Bitcoin on dip and hold for long term to maximize our profit but there is no minimum expected dip to buy Bitcoin, it all depend on what you see as your target that you wish to leverage the opportunity to accumulate more Bitcoin but the most important decision to make is to leverage any slited opportunity of dip and accumulate more Bitcoin as much as possible and hold it for long term to enhance the sustainability of your investment to bring good profit in the future.
The problem with most investors is procrastination of a certain level of dip to invest which may result to losing good investment opportunity. For instance the dip was about $94k or below yesterday but some investors were waiting for the price to dip more before they will invest but the price reversed and started appreciating from that point making them to loss good investment opportunity.
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I doubt that it is very productive for any newbie investors to be getting very worked up about any dip, since there are several ways that any of us can figure out strategies to invest into bitcoin regularly, and sure if you save some  money on the side to buy bitcoin in the event of a dip, then good for you, but in the end, if you are buying BTC regularly, then the dips would merely supplement your already existent buys, and so they should not be any kind of BIG amount of money.

Let's say that you have an income of around $30k per year, and you have been investing fairly aggressively into bitcoin for the past year), about $100 per week (which would add up to around $5,200), and so maybe you also have a practice in which you save up $1k for buying on dips, and so every time the BTC price dips 5% you will invest an additional $100, so that means that your buying on dip amount will help to protect you for up to a 50% dip, but then you would run out of money after that.  You are not fucking around trying to figure out if the BTC price is going to dip or not or if the dip might be x, y or z amount.  You have your money already allocated, and you ONLY have $1k for that, and you are not going to blow your whole $1k trying to figure out the maximum of the dip.

Sure if you want your $1k to spread to lower amounts then maybe you have to choose a larger percentage.. such as 7% would allow you to go down 70% with the extra buys, and of course, you could structure your amounts in varying kinds of ways, but to me it seems that newbies need to stay focused on buying regularly rather than  trying to figure out if their is going to be a dip or not, and sure, if you want to set aside some money for dip buying, then there is nothing wrong with that, as long as you are not fucking around with it trying to figure out the extent of any dip or even holding back a lot of value that you are not willing to accept that the BTC price might not dip... so during bull market's maybe you let your buying on dips go down to 40% or 50% and maybe during bear markets you might be willing to allow it to go down 70%... but in the whole scheme of things you are buying BTC regularly and not trying to figure out dips.  

You do what you want, but any newbies should try to stay focused on accumulating bitcoin regularly, persistently, consistently and perhaps even aggressively and don't get too distracted by dips that may or may not end up happening... then perhaps once you have been in bitcoin for a whole cycle or two, then your BTC stack size might help to inform you the extent to which you might be in a position to change your strategies.


Let's say that there is a guy in his late 30s and he has an income around $35k for the past 9 year when he first got into bitcoin.  He had been investing into bitcoin at about $200 per week which ends up  being quite aggressive and nearly 30% of his income, and so he invested $94k and currently has about 28.13 BTC.

When he first started in bitcoin, he thought that if he were to get to millionaire status, then he could pretty much draw out the amount of his income, which would be $40k per year, but after 2020, he realized that he probably needed $2 million rather than one million to feel that he had and adequate enough cushion.

In recent times he had been looking at various sustainable withdrawal formulas and he realizes that for about 18.26 BTC, he can currently start to withdraw at $6,666 per month which is similar to an $80k per year income.  So he figures that he has reached an over accumulation status since he has nearly 10 BTC more than he needs.  Is that not an over accumulation status?  or what would you call his status? He has about 50% more than he needs.  You think the guy needs to change his goals?  or you think the guy should say that he has enough when he actually has 50% more than enough based on his own standards and expectations?


Sure there can be various strategic ways to buy BTC in order to try to buy BTC at lower prices, but it still seems to be problematic to be describing your activities as maximizing profits, as you keep on doing.. especially if you really are investing rather than trading then you would end up having a 4-10 year or longer time horizon.  

If you are saying that your time horizon is shorter, then you are most likely thinking as a trader rather than an investor, even if you might be trying to time a longer timeline that might be within the cycle or perhaps even longer.


There is no problem to trying to combine strategies like buying the dip and DCA, yet it seems presumptuous for you to be assuming that you are smarter (or other people who are buying the dip are smarter) because you might have had been able to time the dip or that persons who are engaging in buying the dip strategies are smarter than persons who are just doing some more pure form of DCA buying.


It is true what you are saying, and some folks may sometimes mis-assess their own goals, and then mistakenly come to the conclusion that they have reached over accumulation status when they have not.  So sometimes there still may need to be some care in terms of understanding what is a status of over accumulation, yet you still have the idea correct that people can assess their goals and then assess that they have met their goals and/or that they have gone beyond meeting their goals.


I could not say the status of your friend, and surely a person who has spent several years accumulating bitcoin, they might transition away from DCAing and mostly be buying dips, and perhaps even buying less frequently than they had previously done, and yeah for each person, the threshold in which they will switch into some other kind of strategy besides DCA will be different.

Of course, there are some folks who might have gotten into bitcoin with less strict and disciplined versions of DCA, and so they might have always been buying less frequently and trying to buy on dips, and they might perceive their strategy had worked out for them, or it could be that they would have done way better if they had just followed a more strict and disciplined DCA approach.

By the way some old timer bitcoiners think that they were geniuses because they made a few lump sum purchases in the beginning of their investment journey, yet they would have had done way better if they had been investing through out the years instead of sitting around and waiting.

People can choose what they like, even dumb things, and merely because other people are doing it or they had success in what they did, that still does not necessarily mean that they followed a strategy that was even better for their own particular situation, even though frequently in bitcoin bull markets everyone (who bought bitcoin) looks like a genius, so sometimes we need a whole cycle or two to play out to figure out who were the ones who were able to hold onto their cornz.. and without selling too many too soon.