Quote from: JayJuanGee on February 11, 2025, 10:49:56 PM

Quote from: Gachapin on February 11, 2025, 11:38:01 AM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on February 10, 2025, 08:54:28 PM

Quote from: Gachapin on February 10, 2025, 12:24:45 PM

SOMA I bet on sideways, dancing around 100k until fall, then...

That is a pretty long time for sideways (Fall would be like August? or September?). I am not sure if dee cornz does sideways upon command, like that.

badger taught me patience...

so what's your bet for when we leave 100k for good. (apart from a future bear market dump that might take us there again)

Sure, I make various random statements in regards to what I expect, but it is not like I am wedded to too many specifics. I have not even recently provided any kind of upside percentage that would hopefully have more upside than the one I did December 16, 2021.

In other words, how can I bet on anything when I am such a waffler.. and largely I am just criticizing your vague assertion of supposed consolidation until August/September-ish, even though it might happen... sure.

On my own behalf, I have made some claims from time to time, such as in March/April/May-ish I was proclaiming that I expected $120k to $180k prior to the end of 2024 and then some higher ATH in 2025. My first part did not come true, so how am I supposed to come up with something else off the cuff? I am still somewhat sticking with that, even though I don't have any kind of a timeline, but I would expect a bounce into that range and then consolidation in that range and then a further UPPity, and then some kind of a correction, but then the amount of UPpity of either of the potential UPpity legs depends on what happens within the leg, and then the amount of the downity (ie bear market, if any) depends partly on the extent that any blow off top might end up playing out, which a blow off top is not out of the cards, but it is far from guaranteed, also.

I also mentioned several times, starting around March 2024, that I don't expect the BTC spot price to go lower than 25% above the 200-WMA prior to the end of 2025, and so far I have been correct on that prediction, and currently, as I type this post, the 200-WMA is $44k, so $55k is 25% above it, currently.

In the past three-ish months, I had mentioned several times that I expected supra $115k before sub $85k, but I have not even been much greater than 50/50 on that.

I understand that BTC prices can shoot up or down at any time, and surely I would expect any downity to last very long, yet is it is still interesting that we have not had any new ATH since the trump inauguration...so I am not sure if the Market needs some pro-bitcoin happenings to pump more, even though there has been a lot of talk (legislative proposals) around quasi-bitcoin reserves that have quite a bit of distraction stable coin talking points (AKa privatized CBDCs).. .. ..so not a lot of hope around some of the dancing around on these matters, even though surely bitcoin does not really need various governments to pump our bags.. but at the same time, it would be nice to have less hostility in regards to bitcoin, yet the pumping of shitcoins and various other quasi-bitcoin adjacent digital assets are almost the same as an attack on bitcoin, even though from more subliminal directions -

So yeah, indirect attacks on self-custody and desires to control and/or trace bitcoiners...which still does not mean that our bags might not be able to pump - even though some of the folks who are engaged in subliminal attacks against bitcoin may not want to kill or debilitate the golden goose, but they seem to be unable to figure out ways to balance out that retail are not holding bitcoin in self-sovereign kinds of ways, so there are ongoing efforts to extract coins from normies like you, me and others who have been holding coins longer, and sure some of us are not giving up more coins without more price appreciation... but still the punchline is I don't really know how short-term BTC price dynamics plays out, even though it seems a bit of wishful thinking that dee cornz would stay in some kind of a $85k to $115k range between now and August/September-ish as you seem to be anticipating, even if you might end up being correct in your guess about a stable bitcoin that I doubt really exists, since we have a bit of a war going on underneath all of this and whether the BTC price has to go up before down or down before up, I claim to not know.

making me read so much without answering my question of when you see BTC leaving the 100k range to the upside, I feel abused Cheesy