Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Merits 2 from 2 users
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
JayJuanGee
on 13/02/2025, 17:53:58 UTC
⭐ Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (1) ,vapourminer (1)

@WatChe   - Should I be speculating that we have resolved all of our bet terms and that we don't really have any ambiguities to resolve?  including that we may well be choosing between transacting on lightning network in the event that Bitcoin onchain fees might not be reasonable at the time that our bet ends up closing?  Do we need to write the terms of our bet in one little blob and then say we agree or not?  Maybe I should try to write it out?

Here it is:

The bet would close out in WatChe's favor (with JJG paying WatChe 0.00003 BTC / 3,000 satoshis) on two possible conditions: 1) the BTC price goes above $333,333 on Bitstamp or 2) the time goes beyond 23:59 UTC December 31, 2026, and the BTC price had not gone below $90k on Bitstamp.

The bet would close in JJG's favor (with WatChe paying JJG 0.0003 BTC / 30,000 satoshis ) if the BTC price touches any price below $90,000 on Bitstamp before 23:59 UTC December 31, 2026.

Once the bet closes, the winning person will send the losing person a bitcoin address and/or a lightning network address that is reasonably feasible for the losing person to be able to send the amount of bitcoin (satoshis) to resolve the payment of the bet in a reasonably timely manner and to be able to transact in mutually agreeable ways that facilitates the receiving of the above mentioned quantity of satoshis to the winning person accounting for reasonable fees and also accounting for ability of the winner to be able to reasonably use the amount received (without it being dust).. which given the relatively small bet size, likely means that the lightning network would be most likely to be feasible way of transacting the bet.

If for some reason JJG & WatChe disagree about the resolution of the bet (such as in who's favor the bet is resolved, or if the bet has closed), or about the resolution of the means of payment for the bet, then hissleness willl be the third vote that would be used to resolve any such dispute.

Agree or not?

to further this Trumps job will be crypto cooler letting weak hands panic and dump to whales.

I do not see the normal 4 year cycle happening this time at all.

We will simply stay in the 90-110 track for a very long time. more than most can imagine.

So be like JJG and dca

Oh gosh...  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

You are getting into outrageous territories, again... bettable territories.. but I am still trying to clarify my earlier bet with WatChe, so why you gotta raise more proclamations that are so out there that they really become bettable.

Maybe a simple question... what number should we use?  Maybe your chosen number of $110k?   (on Bitstamp, of course, you dweeb).

You might have been sharing notes with Gachapin in regards to your "very long time"?

Do you expect $110k to not be breached by:

1) February 2025?

2) March  2025?

3) April  2025?

4) May 2025?

5) June 2025?

6) July 2025?

7) August 2025?

8 ) September 2025?

9) October 2025?

10) November 2025?

11) December 2025?


Now that I did listed all of the months, it looks a bit ridiculous to list all of the months, but just considering that we could end up returning to UPpity at any time, especially since we really have not broken down yet.. such as breaking below $85k.. and then if that happens, then maybe there might be some difficulties getting back up.. especially if we get a daily candle or two below $85k...  I have  my doubts about the likelihood of that, and $90k is not low enough to really be of concern... at least from the perspective of this here cat.

I would expect 2025 to either be the end of this cycle or close to the end of this cycle, but if we don't get an UPpity or some kind of a blow off top, then the cycle could get disrupted and delayed until 2026 or some other screwed up timeline (which you seem to already be suggesting), and that does not seem likely for the end of the cycle, or even a good idea to be for you to be prematurely (quite prematurely) betting against the cycle (even though the cycle is not guaranteed as LFC frequently likes to seem to proclaim... hahahahaha.... and OsaiEmma also just proclaimed a similar thing). 

There's probably something bettable in your seeming over assertion, depending on how extreme you want to get with specifying your "very long time," and you already proclaimed the end of the cycle, which shows the level of your getting into unsubstantiatable wannabe sorcerer status.. like you are never learning your lessons from your results in your historically making these kinds of proclamations.