I quite agree with you about the rational calculation because it will not be easy for Juventus to pass 3 teams easily. Napoli and Atalanta are still quite reasonable because they are within a point range that they can still achieve with the calculation. And Atalanta position could change if Juventus manages to beat them later in the 28th match, if it turns out to fail then Juventus is definitely not on the radar of the Scudetto title hunt.
Juventus doesn't have a zero chance to win the title, I am not claiming Juventus to be completely out, but I am glad that people saw that it would be a very low chance for them to win, it is not going to be easy at all.
Juventus has to win almost every single game left for them to have a chance and we are not going to see them get all the wins. They will end up losing some points, which is the reason why I believe they are not going to win the title. If they win every single game they have left, then yes they will have a chance to win the title. Third place is more likely, they are not far away from Atalanta and like you said you will have a chance to actually beat them in the upcoming game and be a lot better for them.