Quote from: xSkylarx on March 30, 2025, 04:13:19 AM

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on March 29, 2025, 04:16:52 PM

[edited out]

This was a good read.
I really appreciate the depth and clarity of your analysis, you’ve manage to connect M2 Global Liquidity, gold price action, and Bitcoin’s market trends. You're really confident and convicted in Bitcoin’s potential. Your optimistic analysis, especially in a negative market sentiment is really motivating for people with weak hands like me (I'm almost to the point of selling my holdings since many people said bull market has ended). Let's see how this unfolds throughout the year and wishing for your analysis to become true. Your ability to back up your predictions with detailed reasoning is easy to understand and not filled with deep jargons. If things don't exactly happen as you foresee, please keep doing it as your passion and insight are undeniably admirable.

Thank you for sharing your thoughts, LFC_Bitcoin!

You have been registered on the forum since July 2016, and you still have not figured out that it is not a good idea to sell any of your bitcoin until you have reached a high enough accumulation level to help make sense, which would be a minimum of one cycle and perhaps 2 cycles, yet selling all of your bitcoin seems even more problematic. Even in LFC's post he was ONLY contemplating the possibility of selling 5% to 10% of his stash (which surely would have been a kind of hedge in the event that the bull market is over, like you mentioned).

Surely, you have had enough time that you could have had accumulated enough BTC, but still you are suggesting inclinations to trade, which surely those guys who have been trading bitcoin have tended to fair much worse than the guys who have tended to mostly accumulate and HODL.

None of us can tell any other guy what to do, yet it does seem pretty weak-handed, as you admitted, to be contemplating selling cornz at anywhere around these prices.. absent just merely small levels of sales that might come about based on just living expenses that are not necessarily correlated to the BTC price... so for example, if guys have average costs of bitcoin that are in the 3 digits territories or lower or even costs that are sub $10k, then if they have assessed that they have enough or more than enough BTC, then it would not really matter too much if they sell Bitcoin at $50k, $80k, $110k or whatever, even though surely even guys with more than enough bitcoin would likely not be overly selling their bitcoin on dips or even during periods of uncertainty in regards to the continuation of our current bull run.

Maybe you would like to take the other side of my proposed bet about whether any new ATH will be reached within the next 9-12 months? Want to take the under of such a bet?

Quote from: modrobert on March 30, 2025, 06:31:34 AM

Why is the diff in BTC/USD rate larger than usual between Bitstamp (ChartBuddy) and Binance?

I check Binance rate in parallel mainly because they have bigger volume (not because I'm invested there).
Was thinking first if Binance is going "gox" with limitations on withdrawals or similar problem, or perhaps it's just less arbitrage going on. I already checked USDT and it doesn't diff much from USD at the moment.

EDIT: Never mind, it was my ticker failing locally somehow, my mistake, sorry.
https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price?symbol=BTCUSDT was showing 87675 for some reason.
EDIT 2: After investigating, the VPN country was set to somewhere not allowing access the Binance API and I was actually looking at rates cached from several days ago.

Hahahahaha

SNAFU fixed.

You can be "happy again." All my lil precious prices synchronized... all falling together and more or less at the same pace.

One thing that I continue to find rewarding is the Ethereum price is falling faster than the bitcoin price, so we are coming on 5 year lows for the ETH/BTC pairs with ethereum touching upon .02167 BTC, which is still higher than they deserve to be, even though the Ethereum folks keep believing that their downwardly spiraling piece of crap is going to experience some kind of a recovery that is beyond a dead cat bounce.

Quote from: aesma on March 30, 2025, 02:15:37 PM

Quote from: AlcoHoDL on March 30, 2025, 07:34:36 AM

I guess it's human nature. Nothing against women, but they do tend to favor security in the present time (profits lock-in), rather than future potential profits (delayed gratification, with the associated risk -- which appears very high if they don't understand how Bitcoin works). So, yes, I can understand their way of thinking, and I know that it may cause friction if they know certain things about coins and wallets and such. So, I choose to keep it to myself, and only disclose what is needed to justify certain actions.

I'm single right now. My family members know I'm into BTC, my father already wants me to sell and tells it all the time, and he's not interested in getting any money, he thinks it would be good for me...

Let's say I find a woman one day, when things get serious/kids are involved I would want her to know about BTC, the plan is that I would live off my stash by then so I'm not going to pretend I still have a job (well, maybe, but for other reasons, like having "me time" ), however I'm thinking telling her the real size of my stash would be a bad idea. So my idea, giving her a smaller number, half, or a third (my stash isn't that big that it would make sense to stop working if I only had a lot less, until BTC is much higher of course). Not just saying but having the rest in a colder wallet and not touching it, and really using the fake number as if it was real. That way the lying is minimal.

What do you think ?

There can surely be a dilemma regarding how much to share, and then setting up the inheritance too, whether she would end up with all of your stuff, or if you might have some other heirs in mind.

Another thing is that trust can sometimes be difficult and it can sometimes disappear, so sometimes we want to have systems in place in which our spouse does not have an incentive to either kill you or to fail/refuse to act in your own interest in terms of making sure that we live long. It is difficult to know the answer, but your idea of setting up some joint accounts and even accounts for care of the kids might not be a bad idea, but if the amounts get to be too much, then the wife could run off with the funds and things like that.

Frequently if you are in a relationship long enough, you can get some sense of the trustworthiness of the other person, yet we have a society that is problematic when it comes to property rights and/or even the creation of bad incentives related to money, wealth and value. Surely there are some cultural differences, too.. so not all parts of the world are the same in regards to these kinds of matters, even though surely wealth can have tendencies to corrupt the minds of people on both sides... so sometimes there could be value if each of the spouses have their own wealth, but frequently there can be wealth disparities that might cause one spouse to have what the other spouse has and potentially attempt to achieve through evil and/or deceptive means.

Quote from: AlcoHoDL on March 30, 2025, 02:29:01 PM

Never happened to me, fortunately, but I have friends who are going through some very nasty divorces, with small kids involved, and as a result have turned from happy men into miserable, depressed wrecks. Don't rush it.

For sure, part of the problem is thinking that we know someone, yet also if the relationship goes sour, it can go really sour at a very fast and explosive pace that causes the other person to seem like a devil, yet sometimes the other person might be reacting to some thing that was either our fault or perhaps a product of some incompatibilities that we had not realized existed in the earlier times of the relationship.

Quote from: serveria.com on March 30, 2025, 05:03:23 PM

So, it's official: we're having the worst Q1 of the cycle's top year in Bitcoin history.

Such a pathetic start to what should have become the final and the greatest year of current cycle. If we're following the 2017 pattern (which I believe we're doing) we should face 5 consecutive months of green dildos and euphoria. Slight decline then and another Q of Bitcoin glory and a facemelting final rally. Cool

P.S. choppa soon Grin

P.P.S. don't you dare to mindrust Tongue

Of course, there was the ATH before halvening and there also was a pretty good Trump pump, even though more than half of that Trump pump has been retraced, but retracing is not uncommon in bitcoinlandia.. .

I see, no reason to worry... or get worked up about matters.

Not yet, anyway.

If we get into the lower $60ks, I might start to worry. Perhaps?

Quote from: Biodom on March 30, 2025, 06:18:19 PM

In fact, imho, "they" are jacking up the price of gold to get as much value in "gold certificates" before they announce that their fair value is 2-3-4K and then "swing" some of that value to bitcoin when bitcoin is low.
When that happens, I fully expect a 20-30% btc candle, minimally.

Aren't you Mr. Optimistic like never before?

Cheesy

Quote from: vapourminer on Today at 12:20:07 AM

Quote from: aesma on March 30, 2025, 10:58:29 PM

Yeah and learn about backups...

and how flashdrives suffer bitrot

Sometimes if we don't have full control over spaces where we might keep our private keys and/or our back ups then we can contribute to our own troubles.

Also we might not even realize that something is missing until maybe something happens with the primary, and then we go to the back up and the back up has been disrupted or destroyed in a way that the back up is not sufficient. Two back ups could help, yet surely there becomes more and more difficulties in logistics to keep back ups updated, especially if our second back up might be geographically distributed (at some other location).

Quote from: Ivystar5 on Today at 01:32:43 AM

Quote from: philipma1957 on Today at 12:45:49 AM

Quote from: vapourminer on Today at 12:20:07 AM

Quote from: aesma on March 30, 2025, 10:58:29 PM

Yeah and learn about backups...

and how flashdrives suffer bitrot

Dip looks tasty sub 81k

Wish I could give up
It's not long funny how the price goes up and down.

I used to get encouraged every time here but lately the market seems not to be what it used to be from history

Every time seems different.

That's how "they" get the weak hands to release their coins from the trees as the trees are being shaken.