PSG is on the right track to clinch their first Champions League trophy, even though we realize they are not the main candidates. PSG journey to the final heavily depends on their opponent in the semifinals, in my opinion, facing Arsenal in the semifinals would be slightly easier than facing Real Madrid. The second leg match against Aston Villa is quite predictable, PSG is clearly the favorite, and Luis Enrique squad will likely play it safe by just aiming for a draw.
PSG success in securing the Ligue 1 trophy early allows Luis Enrique more freedom to fully shift his players focus to the Champions League, a situation I believe gives PSG a significant advantage.
That is the reason why Enrique is very enthusiastic in bringing the PSG team undefeated in League 1. When the points difference is too far, PSG can focus more on the UCL and the results are as we see now.
But honestly I don't want to expect too much. We all know in UCL anything can happen and in the upcoming match PSG will only play away which makes PSG a little less confident that the players have.
If in the UCL later PSG successfully advances to the semi finals and must face Arsenal, I am sure PSG can advance to the finals. But if they meet Madrid, I think PSG chances are very small. Because Mbappe knows PSG weaknesses and that could provide a big opportunity for Madrid.