Even that can be said based on the facts that occurred, for example the defeat suffered by Real Madrid when facing Valencia because if we analyze further the results of the match between the two teams then we can conclude that Real Madrid will win the match, but on the contrary what happened Real Madrid lost to Valencia. That's what I said how football betting can be done based on previous match analysis but there is always no guarantee that the analysis can go according to our predictions because there are times when the match ends beyond predictions.
This is a bet not only on expectations but also apparently on analysis, because Real is clearly stronger than Valencia and they should have won. And in trading, there are also cases when, for example, during a trend change, we enter a deal, this is a deal not only on expectations but also based on analysis, and then it turns out that it was a false breakout and the trend continues, in this case it is difficult to say that we acted incorrectly, unless we could have waited a little to finally make sure that we were right.