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If you are not careful interpreting what JJG meant, you may end up confusing yourself. What he meant may not actually be what you said. According to your explanation that JJG is saying that
who is investing in bitcoin regularly such as weekly and not monthly he or she will be ongoingly see his or her bitcoin holdings to be increasing on a weekly basis, wether it is going up or down in terms of it's dollar or fiat value.. for me I think what he just mean is that a person investing weekly or monthly without a long term focus may be thinking that his Bitcoin investment is increasing but perhaps it may not be increasing perhaps he should be more focused on a long term investment of 5-10 year and above. thinking about the amount of Bitcoin he would have acculated by that time should be more focused on, instead of thinking about the little increase and decrease in Bitcoin price in dollar or fiat. Just that he didn't complete the statement that's why you didn't understand what he said.
If we keep buying bitcoin every week, then our quantity of bitcoin and/or our quantity of satoshis will keep increasing.
After accumulating bitcoin 4-10 years or longer, we should have a pretty good stash of satoshis.
Historically the bitcoin price has tended to be quite a bit higher than the 200-WMA,yet if we are buying bitcoin consistently, it is quite likely that our average cost per bitcoin would be right around the same as the 200-WMA after accumulating bitcoin for 4 years, and sure, the longer that we continue to accumulate bitcoin, our average cost per bitcoin will continue to be lower and lower than the 200-WMA.. since the 200-WMA will likely go up faster than our cost per BTC as long as we are mostly focused on ongoing accumulation of BTC... and so yeah, surely, we hope that all of this ends up paying off and we are in a stronger and stronger position in regards to our bitcoin.
It may also be the case that at some point we have enough BTC or more than enough BTC, so that the 200-WMA continues to go up, yet our cost per BTC stays the same.
I would also imagine that at some point, we will calculate our abilities to start to cash out bitcoin (withdraw from our bitcoin stash), which may well be price based cashing out or time based cashing out.
We cannot be guaranteed that the future will be as good as the past or even that we will end up in profits, even though surely it seems that bitcoin remains amongst the best of investments that is currently available to everyone and/or anyone in all parts of the world... perhaps even the best investment currently available to everyone and/or anyone..
By the way, I understand that these responses are a bit abstract, yet it seems to me that I had largely addressed the various outstanding issues, and surely guys should be attempting to measure their bitcoin accumulation targets at various points along the way, and sometimes they might change their targets based on their progress, yet if they are setting up good bitcoin accumulation practices and good cashflow management practices that involve maintaining back up funds such as emergency funds and reserve funds, then they are likely able to put themselves to invest aggressively into bitcoin with the amount of discretionary income that they have... and hopefully they would be making progress through the years and gaining in their bitcoin, and able to reassess where they are at from time to time and to figure out the extent to whihc they might want to tweak their bitcoin accumulation practices... ..
Your accumulation approach is indeed a well thought out one. By consistent accumulation overtime, an investor is more likely to benefit from the DCA strategy, which of course can greatly help in potentially reducing the impact of short term volatility in the market.
The 200-WMA also serves as a very helpful indicator/benchmark. When you check the History of Bitcoin, you’d notice that the price of Bitcoin has mostly been higher than this very average, and as you continue in your accumulation, your average cost per Bitcoin might also stay relatively stable, compared to the rising 200-WMA.
As an investor, it’s very important to review you investment goals from time to time and also make some necessary adjustments in your strategy accordingly. While doing this, one should always consider factors like your financial situation, investment horizon and of course risk tolerance level, which is also very important.
Unfortunately for some investors, they often normalize using a phased approach, where they gradually shift from consistent accumulation to attempt to make quick profit off the market. And a lot of things are involved when they do this, like setting specific price ranges and targets, or time based targets/milestones that will be due for cashing out, which is a very wrong approach. It’s important for an investor to always stick to long term approach at all time, which involves consistent accumulation and a long term perspective until they’ve reached a fuck you status or a state of over accumulation where they’ll be able to live off their investment.