Quote from: leonair on April 19, 2025, 07:30:23 PM

Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on December 24, 2024, 06:09:10 AM

Even experienced users often say something like “There are no smart strategies in gambling, it’s all about chance. Play only for fun, not to win.” These posts look like they were written by artificial intelligence. First, let’s distinguish between casino games, which are entirely based on luck, and sports betting (and betting on non-sports events, such as elections).

Smart strategies are entirely possible in sports betting; it’s wrong to say that there are no smart strategies in gambling if by gambling we mean sports betting (betting in general). One example of a smart strategy in sports betting is the “value” strategy. It’s based on the “edge of the bookmaker’s line.” Simply put, you analyze the bookmaker’s bets, look for inaccuracies in the odds, and try to play on them. In the long run, this can bring you profit.
In fact, there can be no smart strategies in casino games that are completely based on luck. However, even there, strategies are possible. For example, the Martingale strategy. In general, this strategy is unprofitable, since you are playing a game with a negative mathematical expectation, if we are talking about games like roulette or dice, but sometimes luck can be on your side.

Gambling is completely based on luck and no strategy works here, it is true, but this is only for casino games. When it comes to sports betting, predictions definitely work, and you can win by using different strategies. Because live games are played here and predictions can be made by analyzing the players and clubs. A good horse will always run faster, but due to some physical illness, that horse may run slower one day. Something similar happens in sports, a good player may play badly one day due to his physical illness and that team may lose that day. Most of the predictions in sports betting work well, only sometimes you have to lose here. So sports cannot be completely compared with casino.

This is logical, but even in such bets, luck plays a big part, not someone's analysis, because anything can happen during the game. You are also not immune to unfair refereeing, which often happens, and this applies to any sport. So if we make a comparison, luck in casino and luck in sports are different things, but they are both there and there