And for the Arsenal vs Liverpool match, I personally will bet on Arsenal in this match, because as I have explained, Liverpool currently seems to be just playing around with the remaining matches.
I think it will be quite different just because the match is at Anfield against their rival this season. While I don't think they will try as hard to win games, I doubt they'll let Arsenal run away with it simply because they have to face the Anfield crowd and present a decent performance. I mean it would be a huge material for banter if they bet Arsenal, then Arsenal drop down to third or fourth at the end of the season. But yeah, I bet Liverpool's priority is just to make sure their players don't get injured while giving some game time to the likes of Chiesa, Endo, etc.
Your assumption is quite reasonable, because it is true that in front of their own fans Liverpool will definitely give their best performance, because it would certainly be embarrassing if Liverpool lost in front of their own fans. So with that, I think your assumption really makes my choice which was going to choose Arsenal a little shaky at this time. Because at first I didn't think in that direction, but now your assumption really opens my mind, so it seems like I will change my bet which was originally choosing Arsenal to choosing Liverpool. Because it seems like Liverpool's game in this match will not be the same as when facing Chelsea.

In addition, today Chelsea will also face Newcastle, I think this match will be much more exciting, because this match can be said to be a very important match for both teams. Because the team that wins this match will really make them feel a little calmer to get a ticket to the Champions League. Because currently Chelsea has the same points as Newcastle and also Aston Villa. So every match these three teams will really determine their own fate. And for this match I will bet on Newcastle only, because in this match Newcastle will be the host. So it can be said that Newcastle has a greater chance of winning than Chelsea.
Image Source: GoogleI agree, this one could be decisive. Both teams are level on points and goals, and whoever wins gets a real edge in the UCL race. Newcastle do look stronger at home — four of the last five head-to-heads were won by the hosts. Chelsea might be stretched a bit after midweek action in Europe, while the Magpies are fully focused. I'm expecting a tight game, maybe under 3 goals.
Under 3 seems to be a good prediction here and like you said Chelsea might not be able to perform well today and Newcastle in the other hand might use home advantage over them. It's the end of first half right now and Newcastle is already winning, Chelsea have been given a red card and I think that this has distabilized them today. From the looks of things I think Newcastle might win the game.