Quote from: shasan on May 12, 2025, 07:55:17 PM

Quote from: Maslate on April 29, 2025, 09:22:48 AM

A lot of us say that if we want to win, we need luck. But is that really how it works?
I mean, luck isn’t something we can control or predict, it just comes when it wants, and sometimes, not at all.

So maybe it's time to stop relying on luck to win. Instead, focus on strategy, do your homework, and enjoy the game.
And if it’s a game where luck really decides everything (because of the house edge), then treat it for what it is, entertainment, not a money-making plan.

If you think luck is nothing and prediction is important for a gambler then why people loss after placing bet on the predicted team. I think prediction is a good thing which is very much essential for the users but it can't make the final result of the bet and that's why we can't say all the gambling sites/game is depends on prediction hence I think it fully depends on luck.

This thread on luck has made me remember the Monty Hall problem from statistics...

You’re on a game show (Let's make a deal, here in the USA). Three doors. Behind one is a car. Behind the others, a goat. You pick Door #1. The host, who knows what’s behind the doors, opens Door #3—and it's a goat.

And so you are asked: stick or switch?

Most people say it doesn’t matter. “Now it is 50/50”

But that’s wrong....

If you switch, your odds are 2/3. If you stay, just 1/3.

Why is this?

Because the host’s action isn’t random.
It reveals information. It’s not “luck” — it’s Bayesian probability in action.

This scenario is often cited as a case where “just trust luck” isn’t always rational. Real-world situations often feel random, but they’re shaped by hidden structures and decisions. Once you know that, you start to see that what we call “luck” is often just misunderstood information....