I'm not so sure about it anymore.

One thing we've learned in the past couple of years, specifically after the COVID19 pandemic, is that global economic uncertainty and recession has a significantly negative effect on bitcoin price. Today we are in the most destabilized and uncertain global economic conditions in decades. With growing tensions and the wars (economic or otherwise) that the US regime has been starting, things will only become more destabilized and uncertain. In such conditions, chances of seeing a major bitcoin bull run are smaller.

Most possible trends in my opinion, are smaller rises and smaller bull runs. Not anything major like we had in 2017 for instance.