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Scraped on 21/05/2025, 02:48:03 UTC
Liquidity in the market is enough to bring the biggest altseason.
No, it is not. It is bigger than in the previous cycles, but so is the number of altcoins. Ridiculously bigger. This is flaw in reasoning that comes from a lack of knowledge about numbers. If liquidity was 100 and there were 20 altcoins, that is 5 units of liquidity per altcoin. If liquidity has increased a lot, to 1000, but now there are 2000 altcoins that is 0.5 units of liquidity per altcoin. While liquidity increased tremendously, the fragmentation diminished its potential effects and the new situation is much worse than the previous one. What should be considered when looking at this is the liquidity per number of altcoin.

While there will always be individual extreme winners, factoring in the number of existing tokens, they can be considered similar to lottery winners.

What makes it different to those years?
Less fragmentation and less of the same. Did you know that several million tokens have been created since?

2024, you've missed the altcoin season. It has happened earlier than Bitcoin but if more pumps gonna happen for Bitcoin then, expect that there might be a second phase for the altcoin season. And that's what makes it different from all of those years. We thought that the sequence is going to be the same but it's no longer that.
You can't seriously consider a slight positive movement an altcoin season. Absurd.

I don't get why people think that huge altcoin season would happen, when many altcoins have already mooned.
There is no real thinking involved. They are bagholding shitcoins and are hoping that they will make it.
Original archived Re: People are saying that it is going to be the biggest altseason since 2017?
Scraped on 21/05/2025, 02:42:57 UTC
Liquidity in the market is enough to bring the biggest altseason.
No, it is not. It is bigger than in the previous cycles, but so is the number of altcoins. Ridiculously bigger. This is flaw in reasoning that comes from a lack of knowledge about numbers. If liquidity was 100 and there were 20 altcoins, that is 5 units of liquidity per altcoin. If liquidity has increased a lot, to 1000, but now there are 2000 altcoins that is 0.5 units of liquidity per altcoin. While liquidity increased tremendously, the fragmentation diminished its potential effects. What should be considered when looking at this is the liquidity per number of altcoin.

While there will always be individual extreme winners, factoring in the number of existing tokens, they can be considered similar to lottery winners.

What makes it different to those years?
Less fragmentation and less of the same. Did you know that several million tokens have been created since?

2024, you've missed the altcoin season. It has happened earlier than Bitcoin but if more pumps gonna happen for Bitcoin then, expect that there might be a second phase for the altcoin season. And that's what makes it different from all of those years. We thought that the sequence is going to be the same but it's no longer that.
You can't seriously consider a slight positive movement an altcoin season. Absurd.

I don't get why people think that huge altcoin season would happen, when many altcoins have already mooned.
There is no real thinking involved. They are bagholding shitcoins and are hoping that they will make it.