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Edited on 31/05/2025, 20:21:15 UTC
Your mental state has to be 1000% mature. You have to understand you’re going to lose, today, tomorrow, or the day after tomorrow. It’s going to happen and you have to accept that.
Sports betting is not about consecutive winnings. It's about the probability of winning more than you lose. It's about having fun, feeling a rush of adrenaline during the game you are watching.
Now, let me share with you my simple tip on how I play: Let’s say Real Madrid plays a weaker team and the odds for them to win are 1.50. That means a $100 bet returns $150, or a net of $50 profit. Most bettors say, “That’s not worth it”. But if Real Madrid wins 80% of the time, the true bet probability is 80%, and not only 66.7%.
Now compare it to a tight match like Real Madrid against Barcelona, both at 1.90 odds. A $100 bet wins $90. Sounds better, right? Sorry to disappoint you, but your bet is more risky than usual since both teams are strong and we can’t really speculate the winner, it's a 50/50 chance.
My idea is to not only look at the payout but at the true probability behind a game. When the actual chance of winning is higher than the odds, know that you’ve found your perfect opportunity.
What about you? How do you make sure the bets you choose have the best probability? Do you rely more on instinct or stats?
As a bettor your wins depends on how well you analyze your bets, just like the comparisons you made on those teams that's the same way bettors should work on analysing their picks...your mental maturity is very important, a lot of gamblers neglect the importance of a strong psychology...when you are able to control your emotions and how you react to losses you have just eliminated step one of your problems
Original archived Re: Could High Payouts Be Hurting Your Sports Betting Strategy? Here’s My Opinion!
Scraped on 24/05/2025, 20:21:18 UTC
Why do most people neglect the mental factor and focus only on finding the best sports betting strategies? Actually, it doesn't matter if you've got skills, if your mental game is not solid... Let me explain why.
Your mental state has to be 1000% mature. You have to understand you’re going to lose, today, tomorrow, or the day after tomorrow. It’s going to happen and you have to accept that.
Sports betting is not about consecutive winnings. It's about the probability of winning more than you lose. It's about having fun, feeling a rush of adrenaline during the game you are watching.
Now, let me share with you my simple tip on how I play: Let’s say Real Madrid plays a weaker team and the odds for them to win are 1.50. That means a $100 bet returns $150, or a net of $50 profit. Most bettors say, “That’s not worth it”. But if Real Madrid wins 80% of the time, the true bet probability is 80%, and not only 66.7%.
Now compare it to a tight match like Real Madrid against Barcelona, both at 1.90 odds. A $100 bet wins $90. Sounds better, right? Sorry to disappoint you, but your bet is more risky than usual since both teams are strong and we can’t really speculate the winner, it's a 50/50 chance.
My idea is to not only look at the payout but at the true probability behind a game. When the actual chance of winning is higher than the odds, know that you’ve found your perfect opportunity.
What about you? How do you make sure the bets you choose have the best probability? Do you rely more on instinct or stats?
As a bettor your wins depends on how well you analyze your bets, just like the comparisons you made on those teams that's the same way bettors should work on analysing their picks...your mental maturity is very important, a lot of gamblers neglect the importance of a strong psychology...when you are able to control your emotions and how you react to losses you have just eliminated step one of your problems