I wouldn’t say what you’ve mentioned are right nor wrong. Bitcoin just proves how unpredictable it is. That sometimes it is aligned with Trump’s policies, but on the other days, bitcoin seem so totally annoyed with how Trump’s administration is going on. So I can half agree and half disagree with your point, Agbamoni.
But as per my observation, bitcoin price cannot be done in math. It’s still a game of speculation. And sometimes a game of supply and demand.
I have said so many times and still repeating that it's very difficult to predict future price of Bitcoin. There were so many Bitcoin price predictions in the past that have gone wrong. I don't think any mathematical formula can predict future price of Bitcoin. We saw Bitcoin price falling sharply when there is tariff standoff between USA and China but same Bitcoin didn't pay much attention when USA threaten to impose 50% tariff on EU. It's best in our interest to keep accumulating Bitcoin for long term duration without paying much attention to Bitcoin price speculations.