Quote from: Darker45 on May 29, 2025, 01:44:03 AM

Quote from: EluguHcman on May 28, 2025, 01:03:56 PM

Quote from: 20Bet on May 23, 2025, 10:34:33 AM

My idea is to not only look at the payout but at the true probability behind a game. When the actual chance of winning is higher than the odds, know that you’ve found your perfect opportunity.

Only the greeds that will concentrate on the payout percent and are usually lost out of their minds because they literally don't consider the team strengths neither do they take time analysing the game before taking a final decision.

However, is there constantly a discrepancy between the odds and the probability of a team or player winning? After all, the odds are precisely the gauge of the player or the team's probabilities.

It's not like the odds don't reflect it. It's not like the odds suggest a team is most probably losing yet all analyses and opinions are saying it will most probably win.

The odds themselves are probabilities. They reflect analyses, statistics, strengths and weaknesses, and so on.

bookmakers make the odds but they make these odds based on data

they also make their own prediction in a way since they also have no idea who will win but they set up the odds in a way that the house can still benefit no matter who wins. only the fans are extremely biased and can ignore previous matches and still continue to support that one team they all love so much