Re: Counter-intuition vs. intuition.

A few months ago, I came across a post that claimed that the world of risk, that is, stock markets and sports and non-sports betting platforms, is counter-intuitive. This means that you can’t rely on intuition there, but you have to rely on counter-intuition. I must admit, that was the first time I heard the term counter-intuition. This term was first used by Russian trader Alexander Silaev. However, I would like to talk about counter-intuition in relation to sports betting. Do you admit the existence of the term counter-intuition in relation to sports betting? If you ask me what it is, I will answer that it is a set of rules that limits decision-making based on the “unconscious principle”. But intuition is an unconscious principle, in which you cannot clearly tell yourself on what basis you made a bet.

I have not heard the word “counter-intuition” before either. However, I think the term makes sense. Let’s say that intuition really doesn’t work in the stock market and in gambling.

However, we know that most people use their intuition in trading and gambling. We also know that market trends are opposite to what most market participants expect. From this, we can conclude that to be successful in trading and gambling, we need “counter-intuition”.

We must formulate and identify the decisions we would make if we relied on our intuition. And then we must make the exact opposite decisions. That’s what it means to use “counter-intuition”!

If your intuition calls doesnt give out any good results or positive outcome then this is where you would be applying out that counter-intuition on which its just that already that reflects out into your mind because you do already have the experience about it because there are indeed times or moments that those intuition calls do really kicks in. When you are at the time that you've been that seeing your inner voices or intuition calls giving out that positive then you would be considering on making use of it. It all depends on the situation because not all will be that having that positive result or outcomes when it comes into this aspect. Some might having that main consideration but most of the time we arent that following on what our inner guts do tell us. It will be that situational into this aspect and thats why its important that you do know to distinguish the situation basing up on what you are that needing into. There are those times or moments that having that experimental approach and this will be situational on which one you would be choosing up.

To make a profit or win at gambling, a player needs a competitive advantage. In my opinion, such a competitive advantage can be an understanding of the inner psychological motivations of other people (players).

People are very often subject to cognitive distortions. They act illogically, relying on what they call "intuition" (but in fact, this is just their invention, with which they fill the gaps of their ignorance).

Also, many people rely in their reasoning not on the scientific method, but on magical thinking (which most often leads them to incorrect conclusions and inferences).

Knowing how most people make decisions, you can get a competitive advantage in gambling. This, in my opinion, is called "counter-intuition".

I think that intuition and counter-intuition are two extremes, with the true balance lying somewhere in between. Real success comes to those who combine sound judgment with mental flexibility and adaptability to changing circumstances. It is important not to rely blindly on just one feeling, but to use intuition as a guide, supported by analysis and experience. Only such harmony allows for making well-considered decisions in unstable and unpredictable situations.