In watching sports, it is very common for fans to have recency bias especially if fans are new. They might not have watched certain important events so they end up only believing what they have witnessed from recently. If a team wins the latest match, fans might think they are already at the best form of their careers.
In sports betting, this can hinder you from making rational decisions. Sometimes, people fall for short clips cut specifically to make an athlete look good or cool. This is very common on reels or tiktok. How would you combat recency bias? Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing? or do you believe a team or athlete is only as good as their latest match?
Recency bias is a very real and common phenomenon in sports, especially among newer fans or casual viewers who may not have the full historical context. It leads people to overvalue recent performances while ignoring long-term trends or past achievements. This bias is amplified by social media platform, exciting clips can create misleading impressions of an athlete or team’s true ability.
In sports betting, recency bias can be particularly harmful, as it may cause bettors to make irrational decisions based on hype rather than data. A single good or bad game doesn't define a team’s overall quality true performance should be measured across a longer period, using consistent data and analysis. To combat recency bias, it’s important to step back, review a broader set of statistics, trust long-term patterns, and question emotionally driven narratives. While recent form does matter, a team or athlete is never just as
goodor badasgood or bad as their last match.