The conflict between Israel and Iran has raised global concerns, especially with speculation that the U.S. might enter the war. If that happens, it could trigger involvement from Russia and potentially escalate into a wider conflict. Polymarket currently gives a 45% chance of U.S. entry, reflecting high uncertainty. While the U.S. has strong ties to Israel, it’s also cautious about entering another Middle East war. For now, the situation is tense but not yet a full-scale global conflict—though the risk is clearly rising.

Recency bias is a very real and common phenomenon in sports, especially among newer fans or casual viewers who may not have the full historical context. It leads people to overvalue recent performances while ignoring long-term trends or past achievements. This bias is amplified by social media platform, exciting clips can create misleading impressions of an athlete or team’s true ability.

In sports betting, recency bias can be particularly harmful, as it may cause bettors to make irrational decisions based on hype rather than data. A single good or bad game doesn't define a team’s overall quality true performance should be measured across a longer period, using consistent data and analysis. To combat recency bias, it’s important to step back, review a broader set of statistics, trust long-term patterns, and question emotionally driven narratives. While recent form does matter, a team or athlete is never just as good or bad as their last match.

You’re asking a valid question, and you're right — gambling addiction is more common among the poor and working class. For many, gambling feels like a chance to escape hardship, while the rich often gamble just for fun. The poor also face more aggressive gambling ads and have fewer resources to recover from losses. So while rich people can get addicted too, it’s usually less visible and less damaging to their lives. Your observation reflects what’s seen in many societies.

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