Talking about that, it makes no sense that one would withdraw from their portfolio when they're yet to meet their target, doesn't show discipline, one of the features of a long-term holder is discipline and if one has set their target to accumulate a certain amount for a decade or more then the person should ensure they stick to the plan, aim at reaching their goal by continous accumulation without withdrawal then like you said, he can choose to withdraw from the extra accumulated coin. I also want to add that people shouldn't mistake slowing down for a pause or end of accumulation in their portfolio it's simply means that you can reduce the rate of accumulation so far you've met your target, for instance if you were accumulating aggressively before reaching your target you can decide to go slowly after you've achieved your goal and not stop entirely.
You are very right, first and foremost, an investor should not harbour or have the mindset of withdrawing from their hodling, that shouldn't come to play or will I say come in the picture, just as you've said already personally I believe that every investor has a set plan or aim of investing in Bitcoin, so for your purpose of investment to be reach that's to say such investor has to stay unshaken in his or her decision of going for a long-term,we know that sometimes temptation may come but don't see your portfolio as the alternative to solve the problems, if that's the case what then is emergency fund meant for, as bitcoiners we must learn how to persevere, many investors we see out there that has been able to hodl for a long-term faced some waves but the were able to conquer till this moment not because they are extra ordinarily but because they are very much focused and never allowed anything to bridge them from acumualung continuously.
A long term bitcoin holder does not necessarily need to continue to accumulate bitcoin once he has reached overaccumulation status.
Once a guy reaches overaccumulation status, he may well be drawing from his BTC at a rate that is lower than it is appreciating in value, and that is the reason that withdrawing from it at such rate can be established in a sustainable and perpetual way (meaning forever at such sustainable rate). At that point accumulating and/or re-accumulating becomes optional.
Yesterday in my response to Siliikiem in another thread, I refer back to another of my posts in which I outline how a guy might have an income of $30k per year and a goal of having an income of $80k per year, so he needs a minimum of 16.407 BTC to be able to draw an income of $80k per year, yet he had accumulated 27 BTC, so he has extra BTC beyond his goal.. and even if he were to only have 16.407 BTC he does not need to continue to accumulate BTC in order to maintain his $80k per year income, even accounting for something like a 7% per year debasement of the dollar, yet he also might feel more comfortable to be withdrawing at the theoretical limits if he has extra BTC.. but it is not mandatory that he does as long as he has not made any mistakes in his calculations. Personally, I prefer to have som extra (and/or extra cushion of overaccumulation in order to account for mistakes and some variance in the possible unknowns that relate to the future...
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Maybe it can be helpful to go back to the example, and if the guy in the example knows that right now if he has at least 16.407 BTC, then, he can withdraw $80k per year in a perpetual way and even accounting for something like 7% per year dollar debasement that allows him to increase the withdrawal amount by 7% each year. Largely he knows that his BTC stash is growing in dollar value faster than the rate that he is withdrawing it.
So, I used the example of overaccumulation to exaggerate the point and to perhaps even assure that the guys is withdrawing from the overaccumulated amount, so he really does not need very much more than 16.407 BTC in order to be withdrawing from the overaccumulated amount since the BTC is going to be growing at a faster rate than it is withdrawn as ling as the guys stays within his limitations, yet he still might be more comfortable to be quite a bit above the bare minimal threshold rather than being exactly at the bare minimal threshold for the $80k per year passive income.
In my example, I used the 27 BTC amount in order to show a situation in which the guy has 10 BTC extra, and sure that is excess in order to make the point.. since a guy with 27 BTC may well recognize that right now, he could withdraw from his BTC at a rate of $131k per year and he would still be withdrawing at a rate that is less than the BTC is going up in value.. yet out of an abundance of caution, just to make sure that his formulas are correct and that he is not selling too much BTC too soon, he decides to start out withdrawing at $80k per year rather than $131k per year, which largely results in an extra $51k-ish per year rolling over, continuing to grow and largely compounding in value upon itself with the passage of time.Essentially, I am asserting that continuing to accumulate is optional and it is not even necessary to continue to accumulate BTC in order to stay in overaccumulation status even while withdrawing BTC at your sustainable rate, since within the concept the rate is sustainable.. and if the rate is not sustainable then it needs to be adjust downward so that it is sustainable. Surely some guys mistaken in their calculations in regards to what is a sustainable rate, so I suppose in those regards, it is helpful to have extra cushion in the amount of BTC that is held within the overaccumualtion to account for some of the possible calculation mistakes.
Just as you said reaching your level of satisfaction shouldn't end your Bitcoin investment journey because Bitcoin investment is a continuous journey but go on and on with small figure reason being that as a hodler one you stop entirely,
Guys keep misreading and misstating me, though. Sure, I frequently proclaim that the holding onto bitcoin can be planned in ways that guys never completely sell their BTC.. so they may well reach a status of overaccumulation in which they are selling BTC through the rest of their lives and/or potentially also leaving BTC to their heirs.. At the same time, guys also seem to imply that I am suggesting that accumulation of BTC needs to continue, and surely I am not saying that, even though surely continuing to accumulate bitcoin can be optional, yet we still can create systems in which we presume that no additional BTC accumulation is taking place and that the BTC holdings would be sustainable within the various theoretical plans in which further accumulation might not be taking place.
There can be price-based sustainable withdrawal and/or time-based sustainable withdrawal... Let's just use the example of price-based sustainable withdrawal for now... and if a person has 10 BTC, as in
my example from my earlier post, he can be selling at 5% or 10% of his stash every time the BTC price doubles, and the BTC will never run out. He does not have to buy back.. Buying back is optional, which means that it is not necessary for the price-based selling system to be sustainable.
Similar with the
time-based sustainable withdrawal. If the person has more than enough BTC, then as long as the BTC price stays at least 25% above the 200-WMA, then the withdrawal can be made in sustainable ways whether the withdrawals are every month, quarter, yearly or whatever. Of course, if a person is going to withdraw longer periods at time, then it likely is helpful to make sure that the total BTC quantity exceeds the amount being withdrawn so that it stays in sustainable status.... so the amount withdrawn is staying within the overaccumulated amount.
Maybe go back to the current desire to have a sustainable income of $80k per year, so then if the person might be considering withdrawing a whole year in advance, so then he looks at current bitcoin prices and sees that he is able to get $104k per BTC, and so if he withdraws 0.77 BTC, then it would be preferable that he is withdrawing from the excess bitcoin so it would be best if he has at least 17.18 BTC (16.407 + 0.77)... and so then maybe next year when he goes to withdraw another $85.6k ($80k + $5.6k (7% more)) he again would be withdrawing from the excess as the BTC is then evaluated. It could be the case that the guy is worried about the BTC being enough, so then yeah, to start the process, he might prefer to have 30% more bitcoin than his threshold sustainable withdrawal amount, so then maybe he would prefer to not start his sustainable withdrawal of $80k per year until he were to have 21.3291 BTC (30% more BTC) rather than the bare threshold minimum of 16.407 BTC.
I understand that these calculations can become confusing, yet each guy still has to figure out numbers that are comfortable for him and his situation.
you might be tempted to withdraw that's why micro strategy will always remain relevant in the accumulation of Bitcoin
Fuck Microstrategy.
They are not necessarily relevant to the creation and the following of goals of regular individuals.
Microstrategy is using the money of other people to accumulate way more bitcoin than they need, and sure that may well be good for microstrategy, and their conduct is pumping the bags of other bitcoin holders, but they are also driving the BTC price up for guys who are still in their earlier BTC accumulation stages.
, when you think they will get tired, they surprise people the more, isn't that great, the journey is a long one, although the decision to keep buying even when you have reach your target as you said is a personal decision but continuing is worth it alsince Bitcoin is still what it is.
I am not saying to keep accumulating.. since I am proclaiming that there are periods in which guys have reached enough or more than enough bitcoin.
Even when I first saw what MSTR had done in August 2020 when it accumulated its first tranche of BTC, I proclaimed that they had invested way more than they had needed to invest.
I think around that time I was recommending a starting out strategy for normies to invest 5% to 25% of their cash (and/or their investment portfolio) into bitcoin, and MSTR's first purchase was around 75% of their then available cash. Sure, maybe they had other investments and/or assets to justify that they were not being overly aggressive, yet normal people tend to need to work within their cashflows and their discretionary income.. and surely I am not against aggressiveness or even going beyond 25% for guys who have assessed their own circumstances, yet many times a guy who may well invest 25% of his income for one whole cycle or even two whole cycles, he may well end up getting to a point of enough bitcoin or more than enough bitcoin..
In
another one of my earlier posts from a couple of days ago, I had described a situation of a guy with a $30k income and a goal of getting to an income of $80k, and accumulating since 2016 and getting to way past his goals with even fairly modest levels of aggressiveness.